Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
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Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Oct 26, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the DOGE/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/doge-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair DOGE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-25T15:00:05.906Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This snapshot covers one Polymarket contract, "Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET" [1]. The rules state that it "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The resolution source is the Chainlink DOGE/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules say the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair DOGE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
The listed end time is 2026-10-26T12:30:00.000Z [1]. The title uses Eastern Time, so readers should check how that window maps to the UTC end time. The evidence does not state this conversion directly.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed this market at 2026-10-25T15:00:05.906Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-25T16:55:38.422Z [1]. The provider status was recorded as active [1]. These are historical observation times. They do not show the market's status or prices at the time you read this.
The saved prices were 0.5 for "Up" and 0.5 for "Down" [1]. These are snapshot values, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. Because the two outcomes are equal at this observation time, the snapshot shows no price difference between them. It does not indicate what the market will settle at.
The sample includes one market, and the coverage record marks it as complete, with no partial sample [1]. The evidence does not include volume, so it cannot speak to liquidity or how many traders took part.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not include any later price data, so it cannot show how prices changed after the snapshot. It also does not establish the outcome of the 8:25 to 8:30 AM ET window, since the contract's listed end time is recorded but no resolution is reported [1].
This sample also cannot be compared with any other platform's contract. Differences in wording, reference prices, or close times would need to be checked against each contract's own rules before any comparison is drawn.
References
- Polymarket: Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-25T15:00:05.906Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 25, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-window price contract on Dogecoin, titled "Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET". It is listed in the crypto category on Polymarket, and the saved provider record shows a single binary market with two outcomes, Up and Down [1]. The contract's resolution rule is tied to a specific measure rather than to a spot price on an exchange. Under the rule, the market resolves to Up if the time-weighted average price of Dogecoin over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to Down [1]. The time-weighted average is generated by Chainlink, and the source named for resolution is the DOGE/USD TWAP data stream [1]. The provider states that only this Chainlink data stream counts, not other sources or spot markets [1]. The provider record lists a listed end time of 2026-10-26T12:30:00.000Z, and the event is recorded as active [1]. The end time is the time the contract is set to close according to its listing. It is not a report that the price has already been measured or that the market has settled. Readers should treat the observation and retrieval times shown in this article as the moment the provider data was captured, not as a live feed.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the Chainlink DOGE/USD time-weighted average over a roughly five-minute window, from 8:25 AM to 8:30 AM ET on October 26, finishes at or above the price at the start of that window [1]. Because the comparison uses an averaged price rather than a single trade, the result depends on the data stream's averaging method and not only on where the price stands at the final moment [1]. The rule also specifies that other sources and spot markets do not determine the outcome [1]. Anyone reading a price for this contract should keep in mind that the price reflects trading in the contract itself and is not a verified probability of the Dogecoin price move.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-25 at 15:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this contract resolves Up?
The contract resolves Up if the Chainlink DOGE/USD time-weighted average price over the stated time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range [1].
Which price source is used for resolution?
Resolution uses the DOGE/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink. The provider states that other sources or spot markets are not used for this market [1].
When is the contract scheduled to end?
The provider lists the end time as 2026-10-26T12:30:00.000Z [1]. This is the listed closing time of the contract and does not indicate that resolution has already occurred.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.