BNB Up or Down - October 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
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BNB Up or Down - October 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BNB/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/bnb-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BNB/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-26T21:00:06.062Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Polymarket contract titled "BNB Up or Down - October 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET" [1]. The rules state that the market "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1].
The resolution source is the Chainlink BNB/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules say the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BNB/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A reader comparing this contract with a spot-price question or a different data feed should note that the wording and resolution source differ.
The listed end time is 2026-10-27T15:35:00.000Z [1]. That matches the 11:35 AM ET end of the title's window, but the listed time is the contract's close, not a confirmed resolution time.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is 2026-10-26T21:00:06.062Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-26T21:58:03.888Z [1]. The prices below describe that observation only and may no longer be current.
- Up: 0.505
- Down: 0.495 [1]
These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The two outcomes sum to 1.00 in this record. The sample covers one market from one platform, so no cross-platform comparison is possible. The saved data does not include trade volume, liquidity, or the number of traders, so none of those can be inferred from the prices.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why prices sit where they do, and it contains no recent news or market commentary about BNB. It also does not show how the price has changed over time, so no trend can be described.
The coverage record shows one market included out of one total, with no partial sample [1]. The provider's sample warning states that this "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. Since this is a binary Up or Down contract, that caveat matters less here, but it still limits any broader claim.
The contract's rules also do not establish the price at the start of the window or the eventual TWAP. Until the window closes and the provider reports a result, the outcome is unresolved.
References
- Polymarket: BNB Up or Down - October 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-26T21:00:06.062Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 26, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a short-term crypto price contract listed on Polymarket for BNB, with the title "BNB Up or Down - October 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET" [1]. It is a binary contract with two outcomes, Up and Down. The contract does not ask whether BNB will be higher at a single moment. It compares the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB over the five-minute window named in the title with the price at the start of that window [1]. Under the listed rules, the market resolves to Up if the TWAP over that window is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of the window. Otherwise it resolves to Down [1]. The rules specify that the resolution source is Chainlink's BNB/USD TWAP data stream, and that other sources or spot markets do not determine the outcome [1]. A short window like this means the result depends on how the average behaves across the five minutes, not only on where the price ends. The listed end time is 2026-10-27T15:35:00Z [1]. That date and time is the contract's closing and resolution reference point under its rules. It is not a scheduled news event or an announced development. The market was reported as active in the saved source record [1]. The price snapshot in this article is from the provider observation time, not from the time you are reading it. The saved observation shows Up at 0.505 and Down at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshots of listed prices. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities of the outcome. The contract was observed roughly 19 hours before its listed end time, so the prices may have changed since then.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the time-weighted average BNB/USD price over the 11:30 to 11:35 AM ET window is at or above the price at the start of that window [1]. Because it uses an average rather than a single price point, a brief spike or dip at the start or end of the window affects the result less than a sustained move would. The rules also make clear that the result is tied to the Chainlink data stream and not to any other exchange or spot market [1]. Traders reading the prices should keep in mind that the listed Up and Down prices are snapshots from a specific observation time and do not measure how many people are trading or how deep the market is [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-26 at 21:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does an Up outcome require?
An Up outcome requires the TWAP of BNB over the stated window to be greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that window, measured using the Chainlink BNB/USD TWAP data stream [1].
Which price source decides the result?
The rules name Chainlink's BNB/USD TWAP data stream as the resolution source. The rules also state that the market is about the price in that data stream and not about other sources or spot markets [1].
Do the listed prices show the current chance of Up or Down?
No. The listed prices are snapshots from a past observation time. They are not executable quotes and not verified probabilities [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.