Snapshot observed 2026-10-21T12:00:06.317Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

This event is a set of separate Polymarket contracts about the 2026-27 NFL regular season. Each contract asks whether one named player will finish the regular season with the most receiving yards [1]. The rules say the market "will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receiving yards" [1].

The rules include tie-breakers. If players tie on yards, the market favors the tied player with more receiving touchdowns, then the higher yards per reception average. If a tie still persists, it resolves to "Other" [1]. The rules also say that if the season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or if it is unclear who led the league, the market resolves to "Other" [1]. That date is a rule condition, not an announced event. The listed end time is 2027-01-27T04:59:00.000Z [1].

Reading the snapshot

The provider observed these prices at 2026-10-21T12:00:06.317Z, and the application retrieved the source at 2026-10-21T14:51:17.065Z [1]. These are snapshots of Yes prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. Jaxon Smith-Njigba's Yes price was 0.435 and Chris Olave's was 0.123 [1]. Amon-Ra St. Brown's was 0.075, and CeeDee Lamb's was 0.0715 [1].

The sample is partial. The provider event has 22 markets, and 12 are included here [1]. The included markets are the highest-priced ones in that saved event, so the omitted 10 are not shown and should not be assumed to have lower prices. Do not treat these 12 rows as the full field, and do not combine them with rankings from other events or providers.

Volume is not included in this explanation, and the sample does not show how many traders hold each position.

What remains uncertain

The snapshot cannot show how the market will move after October 21, 2026, or whether the listed prices will still apply when you read this. The evidence does not explain why any price changed or why one player is priced above another.

Outcomes will depend on the regular-season results, the tie-breakers, and the cancellation or truncation rules. The evidence does not establish that any of those events will occur. Users should check the current provider page and the full rules before relying on these figures.

References

1. Polymarket: Pro Football: 2026-27 Receiving Yards Leader. Provider data observed 2026-10-21T12:00:06.317Z.