ZCash Up or Down - October 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
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ZCash Up or Down - October 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Saved contracts
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zec-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-26T03:00:05.873Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Polymarket contract titled "ZCash Up or Down - October 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET" [1]. According to the excerpt, it "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range." Otherwise, it resolves to "Down" [1].
The stated resolution source is the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream. The rules say the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. Any comparison with other ZEC price measures should first confirm that the source and averaging method match.
The listed end time is 2026-10-26T20:00:00.000Z [1]. The title's window is written in ET, so readers should check the two time formats against each other before relying on timing.
Reading the snapshot
The saved record shows the Up outcome at 0.5 and the Down outcome at 0.5 [1]. These prices were observed at 2026-10-26T03:00:05.873Z and retrieved at 2026-10-26T03:36:31.894Z [1]. This is a record of that observation, not a live reading, and it should not be read as the price when you view this page.
These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. Equal prices mean only that both outcomes were quoted at 0.5 at the observation time. They do not indicate which outcome is more likely, and the evidence contains no explanation for the quotes.
The sample is a single market from a single provider event. The coverage record lists one total market, one included market, and "partialSample": false [1]. Because the sample is complete for this event, no outcome has been omitted from it.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not include trading volume, liquidity, number of participants, or price history, so it cannot show how firm either quote is. It also does not explain the 0.5 pricing.
The provider status is recorded as "active" in the saved record [1]. That describes the record, not the current status. The final result is not in the evidence. Resolution will depend on the Chainlink TWAP rule described above, measured over the window in the title. No comparison with other platforms is possible from this single record.
References
- Polymarket: ZCash Up or Down - October 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-26T03:00:05.873Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 26, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a short-window crypto price contract listed on Polymarket under the title "ZCash Up or Down - October 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET" [1]. It covers a fifteen-minute window and asks whether ZCash's price over that window ends up at or above where it started. The contract resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is Chainlink's ZEC/USD TWAP data stream rather than a general market price [1]. The contract specifies that the market is about the price according to that TWAP Chainlink data stream for the ZEC/USD pair, not according to any other sources or spot markets [1]. A trader reading the contract therefore needs to understand the TWAP mechanism, since an average over the window can differ from the price at the window's start or end even when the spot price moves in a single direction. The listed end time is 2026-10-26T20:00:00.000Z [1]. That is the time the contract is set to close. It is not the moment of resolution, and the source does not state when resolution will be reported. The provider status recorded in the saved source is active, but that describes the record at retrieval, not the status today.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a direction over a short interval rather than a price level. Its "Up" outcome requires the TWAP over the window to be at or above the opening reference price, so the question is about the averaged price relative to the start of the period [1]. Because the reference is a Chainlink data stream, the contract's outcome depends on that feed's values and not on prices from exchanges or other sources [1]. Anyone using the contract should read the resolution rules directly, since the source's wording on the TWAP and the price at the start of the range determines the outcome.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-26 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What makes this contract resolve to Up?
It resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range [1].
Which data source determines the outcome?
The resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream [1]. The contract states that other sources or spot markets are not used [1].
When does this contract close?
The listed end time is 2026-10-26T20:00:00.000Z [1]. The source does not state when the outcome will be reported.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.