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Event GroupKALSHIEntertainment

How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week?

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How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week?

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0.0%avg

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11 markets tracked

Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 6 million views?

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Single-Platform Markets(11)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 6 million views?	Kalshi	100%
Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 9 million views?	Kalshi	97%
Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 12 million views?	Kalshi	83%
Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 15 million views?	Kalshi	22%
Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 18 million views?	Kalshi	4%
Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 21 million views?	Kalshi	3%
Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 30 million views?	Kalshi	2%
Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 25 million views?	Kalshi	2%
Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 50 million views?	Kalshi	1%
Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 40 million views?	Kalshi	1%
Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 35 million views?	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

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About This Event

The chart published on Jul 14, 2026 If the #1 Movie on Netflix has at least X million views on the chart published on Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market specifically encompasses the number of “Views”, not hours viewed, of the top Movie ranked on Netflix’s weekly charts for Global "Movies | English" chart. The Netflix charts are updated on Tuesday. Therefore, the market will close at 11:59 PM ET the day before. The chart published on Jul 14, 2026 will be for the week endi

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week?
**Category:** Entertainment | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** The chart published on Jul 14, 2026

If the #1 Movie on Netflix has at least X million views on the chart published on Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market specifically encompasses the number of “Views”, not hours viewed, of the top Movie ranked on Netflix’s weekly charts for Global "Movies | English" chart. The Netflix charts are updated on Tuesday. Therefore, the market will close at 11:59 PM ET the day before. The chart published on Jul 14, 2026 will be for the week endi

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the #1 Movie on Netflix has at least 9 million views on the chart published on Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market specifically encompasses the number of “Views” (not hours viewed) of
the top Movie ranked on Netflix’s weekly charts for Global "Movies  | Eng"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 9 million views?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 96.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 6 million views?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 50 million views?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 40 million views?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 35 million views?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 30 million views?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 25 million views?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 21 million views?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 18 million views?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 15 million views?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 21.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 12 million views?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 82.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 17.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEntertainment

How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week?

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KALSHI

Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 6 million views?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHICulture

Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 6 million views?

If the #1 Movie on Netflix has at least 6 million views on the chart published on Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market specifically encompasses the number of “Views” (not hours viewed) of the top Movie ranked on Netflix’s weekly charts for Global "Movies | Eng

KALSHI

Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 9 million views?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 96.5¢No 3.5¢

KALSHICulture

Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 9 million views?

If the #1 Movie on Netflix has at least 9 million views on the chart published on Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market specifically encompasses the number of “Views” (not hours viewed) of the top Movie ranked on Netflix’s weekly charts for Global "Movies | Eng

KALSHI

Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 12 million views?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 82.5¢No 17.5¢

KALSHICulture

Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 12 million views?

If the #1 Movie on Netflix has at least 12 million views on the chart published on Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market specifically encompasses the number of “Views” (not hours viewed) of the top Movie ranked on Netflix’s weekly charts for Global "Movies | En

KALSHI

Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 15 million views?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 21.5¢No 78.5¢

KALSHICulture

Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 15 million views?

If the #1 Movie on Netflix has at least 15 million views on the chart published on Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market specifically encompasses the number of “Views” (not hours viewed) of the top Movie ranked on Netflix’s weekly charts for Global "Movies | En

KALSHI

Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 18 million views?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 3.5¢No 96.5¢

KALSHICulture

Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 18 million views?

If the #1 Movie on Netflix has at least 18 million views on the chart published on Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market specifically encompasses the number of “Views” (not hours viewed) of the top Movie ranked on Netflix’s weekly charts for Global "Movies | En

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/gVKEZ4" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week?"></iframe>

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How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week?

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Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 6 million views?

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Events (1)

How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week?

Markets (11)

Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 6 million views?

Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 6 million views?

Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 9 million views?

Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 9 million views?

Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 12 million views?

Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 12 million views?

Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 15 million views?

Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 15 million views?

Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 18 million views?

Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 18 million views?

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Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 6 million views?

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How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week?

Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 6 million views?

Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 6 million views?

Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 9 million views?

Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 9 million views?

Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 12 million views?

Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 12 million views?

Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 15 million views?

Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 15 million views?

Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 18 million views?

Will the #1 Movie on Netflix have at least 18 million views?

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