Market snapshot: Oct 18, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Shimizu vs Machida Z: Spread

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Shimizu vs Machida Z: Spread

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Price ChartContract price history

4 markets tracked

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Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Machida Z wins by more than 1.5 goals?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(4)

Market	Platform	Price
Machida Z wins by more than 1.5 goals?	Kalshi	22.0%
Shimizu wins by more than 1.5 goals?	Kalshi	10.5%
Machida Z wins by more than 2.5 goals?	Kalshi	8.5%
Shimizu wins by more than 2.5 goals?	Kalshi	4.5%

Rules & Resolution

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AI Analysis

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K 0 contracts

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Source snapshot: Oct 18, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

About This Event

SHI vs MAC (Oct 21) If Shimizu wins by more than X goals in the Shimizu vs Machida Z professional Japan J1 League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 21, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Shimizu vs Machida Z: Spread
Source snapshot: Oct 18, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): K 0 contracts
Coverage: 4 of 4 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Shimizu wins by more than 2.5 goals?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXJLEAGUESPREAD-26OCT21SHIMAC-SHI3; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxjleaguespread-26oct21shimac
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 23, 2026, 10:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 4.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 95.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Shimizu wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Shimizu vs Machida Z professional Japan J1 League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 21, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Shimizu wins by more than 1.5 goals?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXJLEAGUESPREAD-26OCT21SHIMAC-SHI2; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxjleaguespread-26oct21shimac
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 23, 2026, 10:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 10.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 89.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Shimizu wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Shimizu vs Machida Z professional Japan J1 League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 21, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Machida Z wins by more than 2.5 goals?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXJLEAGUESPREAD-26OCT21SHIMAC-MAC3; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxjleaguespread-26oct21shimac
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 23, 2026, 10:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 8.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 91.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Machida Z wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Shimizu vs Machida Z professional Japan J1 League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 21, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Machida Z wins by more than 1.5 goals?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXJLEAGUESPREAD-26OCT21SHIMAC-MAC2; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxjleaguespread-26oct21shimac
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 23, 2026, 10:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 22.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 78.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Machida Z wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Shimizu vs Machida Z professional Japan J1 League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 21, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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