ZCash Up or Down - October 27, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
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ZCash Up or Down - October 27, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Saved contracts
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zec-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-27T06:00:05.981Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This record covers a single Polymarket event titled "ZCash Up or Down - October 27, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET" [1]. According to the excerpt, the market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down" [1]. The named resolution source is the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream, and the excerpt states that the market is about the price "according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. The listed end time is 2026-10-28T02:45:00.000Z [1], which corresponds to the 10:45PM ET end of the window in the title.
Because the rule compares an average over the window with the starting price, this contract does not simply ask whether ZCash finishes higher than it started.
Reading the snapshot
The saved record lists the Up outcome at 0.5 and the Down outcome at 0.5 [1]. The observation time is 2026-10-27T06:00:05.981Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-27T06:05:39.965Z [1]. These timestamps describe only this saved record. The excerpt contains no later price, so the figures should not be read as current.
These values are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The two outcomes are equal in this record, so the snapshot shows no quoted difference between them. The excerpt does not report volume or the number of participants, so it says nothing about liquidity or how many traders hold a view.
Coverage for this record is complete for the saved event: one market was included, and partialSample is false [1]. The provider's sample warning also notes that this does not establish that every possible real-world outcome is listed, though this is a two-outcome contract.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the prices are at these levels, and it contains no other snapshots, so no movement over time can be assessed. No actual resolution is recorded. The observation was made before the listed end time, so the outcome is not known from this material.
Readers comparing this contract with other ZCash markets should check each contract's rules and close times. Different wording, such as a TWAP over a window versus a spot price at a single moment, can make a direct comparison misleading. This record includes no other market, so it supports no cross-platform conclusion.
References
- Polymarket: ZCash Up or Down - October 27, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-27T06:00:05.981Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 27, 2026 UTCOverview
This contract is a short-window price market on ZCash (ZEC) priced in US dollars. Its title, "ZCash Up or Down - October 27, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET", identifies the five-minute window it covers [1]. The provider's rules state that the market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The measurement is specific. The rules name the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP data stream as the resolution source and say the market concerns that stream only, not other sources or spot markets [1]. A trader therefore needs to understand how that data stream averages price over the window, not simply where ZEC trades on a given exchange at the end of the period. The listed end time for this event is 2026-10-28T02:45:00.000Z [1]. That timestamp is the contract's scheduled closing point as recorded by the provider. It is not evidence that the window has closed or that a result has been determined. The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-10-27T06:00:05.981Z and retrieved at 2026-10-27T06:05:39.995Z, so the provider status described here reflects that earlier moment.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP over a specific five-minute window finishes at or above the value at the start of that window [1]. Because the comparison uses an averaged price and a defined reference point, the outcome depends on the path of the data stream during the window rather than only on the price at its close. The rules also limit the contract to that one data stream, which means outcomes can differ from prices seen on other venues. The saved sample contains this single market and its two outcomes, Up and Down [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-27 at 06:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this market resolves Up or Down?
The market resolves Up if the TWAP of ZCash generated by Chainlink over the title's time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves Down [1].
Which price data is used for resolution?
The rules name the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP data stream, with a 60-second TWAP, as the resolution source and state that other sources or spot markets are not used [1].
When is the contract scheduled to end?
The provider's listed end time is 2026-10-28T02:45:00.000Z. This is the scheduled close recorded by the provider, and the source does not describe any other event timing [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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