Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 1, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
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Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 1, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Nov 1, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-11-01T03:00:06.030Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This Polymarket event asks whether the Hyperliquid price will rise during a fixed window. The rule states that the market "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The window named in the title is "November 1, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET" [1].
The resolution source is narrow. The rules say the market "is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A reader comparing this contract with a similarly titled market on another platform should check whether that platform uses the same data stream, averaging method, and time window, since wording differences can change what is being priced.
The listed end time is "2026-11-01T21:30:00.000Z" [1]. This is the provider's recorded close time. It is not a separate announcement of when results will be published.
Reading the snapshot
The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-11-01T03:00:06Z and retrieved at 2026-11-01T03:33:58Z [1]. Those are the times recorded in this record. They do not show current prices. The contract was active in the saved data [1].
The sample contains one market with two outcomes. "Up" was priced at 0.505 and "Down" at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they should not be read as verified probabilities. The two prices sum to 1.000 in this record, so the snapshot shows no gap between the two sides.
The sample covers all saved markets for this event: one total market, one included, and no partial sample [1]. The provider's note says this "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. Because this is a binary event, the two listed outcomes are the full set in the saved data.
The record does not include volume, trade counts, or order book depth, so it cannot show how liquid the market is or how many participants are involved.
What remains uncertain
The record does not explain why the price is at its current level. It also provides no news, no independent forecasts, and no evidence about how this type of market has performed historically. The snapshot is limited to the stated observation time, and prices may have changed since then. Users should compare the contract wording, data source, and close time before treating any two markets as equivalent.
References
- Polymarket: Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 1, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-11-01T03:00:06.030Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 1, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-term crypto contract on Polymarket titled "Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 1, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET" [1]. The contract asks whether the HYPE/USD price, measured as a time-weighted average price (TWAP) over the 4:15 PM to 4:30 PM ET window, will be at or above the price at the start of that window. The contract resolves to "Up" if that condition is met and to "Down" otherwise [1]. The measurement is tied to one data feed. The stated resolution source is Chainlink's HYPE/USD TWAP data stream with a 60-second interval, and the rules say the market concerns that feed alone, not other sources or spot markets [1]. A market can therefore resolve differently from what a reader might see on a particular exchange, because only the named feed determines the outcome [1]. The listed end time is 2026-11-01T21:30:00Z, which corresponds to the close of the window named in the title [1]. Readers should keep three times apart: the provider observation time for the price snapshot below, the time the source was retrieved, and the contract's listed end time. The end time is the date written in the contract rules and is not evidence that any event has happened yet.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the time-weighted average HYPE/USD price over one 15-minute window ends at or above the price at the window's start, as reported by one named Chainlink data stream [1]. Because the outcome depends only on that feed, the rules define what counts as a win for traders. The price snapshot for the two outcomes at the observation time was Up at 0.505 and Down at 0.495 [1]. These values are snapshot prices from the provider, not executable quotes, and they should not be read as verified probabilities of the outcome. The single-market sample covers the whole saved event, but the provider's wording does not establish that every possible outcome is listed.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-01 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this contract resolves Up or Down?
The contract resolves Up if the TWAP of HYPE over the stated time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range, and Down otherwise [1].
Which price data counts for resolution?
Only the Chainlink HYPE/USD TWAP data stream counts. The rules state that other sources or spot markets do not determine the outcome [1].
When is the listed end time for this contract?
The listed end time is 2026-11-01T21:30:00Z, matching the close of the 4:15 PM to 4:30 PM ET window in the title [1].
Do the displayed prices show the likelihood of an Up result?
The displayed prices are a snapshot taken at the provider's observation time. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities of the outcome [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.