Market snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEntertainment

Golden Globe Winner: Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy

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Golden Globe Winner: Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy

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Snapshot from Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

As of Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is John Malkovich at 51.5%.

Kalshi

John Malkovich51.5%
Ryan Gosling19%
Seth Rogen12.5%
Brad Pitt8.5%
Tom Cruise5.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

Price ChartContract price history

13 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will John Malkovich win a Golden Globe Award for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

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Single-Platform Markets(13)

Market	Platform	Price
Will John Malkovich win a Golden Globe Award for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	51.5%
Will Ryan Gosling win a Golden Globe Award for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	19.0%
Will Seth Rogen win a Golden Globe Award for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	12.5%
Will Brad Pitt win a Golden Globe Award for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	8.5%
Will Tom Cruise win a Golden Globe Award for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	5.5%
Will Jordan Firstman win a Golden Globe Award for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	4.5%
Will Robert Pattinson win a Golden Globe Award for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	3.5%
Will Tie win a Golden Globe Award for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	2.5%
Will Pedro Pascal win a Golden Globe Award for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	1.5%
Will Jaafar Jackson win a Golden Globe Award for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	1.5%
Will Harry Melling win a Golden Globe Award for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	1.5%
Will Dominic Sessa win a Golden Globe Award for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	1.5%
Will Anthony Ippolito win a Golden Globe Award for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	1.5%

Rules & Resolution

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Source snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

About This Event

Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy | 2027 If X wins a Golden Globe for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Golden Globes. Any references to the “Golden Globes,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between the Golden Globes and Kalshi. The 84th Golden Globe Awards are expected to be held on January 10, 2027. This market will close and expire following the awards ceremony, or following the nomination announcement if X is not nominated.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Golden Globe Winner:  Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy
Source snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): K 0 contracts
Coverage: 13 of 13 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Will Tie win a Golden Globe Award for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXGGWINNER-CACTO27-TIE; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxggwinner-cacto27
Observed: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 10, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 2.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Tie wins a Golden Globe for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Golden Globes. Any references to the “Golden Globes,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between the Golden Globes and Kalshi. The 84th Golden Globe Awards are expected to be held on January 10, 2027. Early close condition: This market will close and expire following the awards ceremony, or following the nomination announcement if Tie is not nominated.

Contract: Will Tom Cruise win a Golden Globe Award for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXGGWINNER-CACTO27-TCRU; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxggwinner-cacto27
Observed: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 10, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 5.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 94.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Tom Cruise wins a Golden Globe for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Golden Globes. Any references to the “Golden Globes,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between the Golden Globes and Kalshi. The 84th Golden Globe Awards are expected to be held on January 10, 2027. Early close condition: This market will close and expire following the awards ceremony, or following the nomination announcement if Tom Cruise is not nominated.

Contract: Will Seth Rogen win a Golden Globe Award for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXGGWINNER-CACTO27-SROG; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxggwinner-cacto27
Observed: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 10, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 12.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 87.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Seth Rogen wins a Golden Globe for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Golden Globes. Any references to the “Golden Globes,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between the Golden Globes and Kalshi. The 84th Golden Globe Awards are expected to be held on January 10, 2027. Early close condition: This market will close and expire following the awards ceremony, or following the nomination announcement if Seth Rogen is not nominated.

Contract: Will Robert Pattinson win a Golden Globe Award for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXGGWINNER-CACTO27-RPAT; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxggwinner-cacto27
Observed: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 10, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 3.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Robert Pattinson wins a Golden Globe for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Golden Globes. Any references to the “Golden Globes,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between the Golden Globes and Kalshi. The 84th Golden Globe Awards are expected to be held on January 10, 2027. Early close condition: This market will close and expire following the awards ceremony, or following the nomination announcement if Robert Pattinson is not nominated.

Contract: Will Ryan Gosling win a Golden Globe Award for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXGGWINNER-CACTO27-RGOS; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxggwinner-cacto27
Observed: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 10, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 19.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 81.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Ryan Gosling wins a Golden Globe for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Golden Globes. Any references to the “Golden Globes,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between the Golden Globes and Kalshi. The 84th Golden Globe Awards are expected to be held on January 10, 2027. Early close condition: This market will close and expire following the awards ceremony, or following the nomination announcement if Ryan Gosling is not nominated.

Contract: Will Pedro Pascal win a Golden Globe Award for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXGGWINNER-CACTO27-PPAS; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxggwinner-cacto27
Observed: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 10, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 1.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Pedro Pascal wins a Golden Globe for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Golden Globes. Any references to the “Golden Globes,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between the Golden Globes and Kalshi. The 84th Golden Globe Awards are expected to be held on January 10, 2027. Early close condition: This market will close and expire following the awards ceremony, or following the nomination announcement if Pedro Pascal is not nominated.

Contract: Will John Malkovich win a Golden Globe Award for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXGGWINNER-CACTO27-JMAL; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxggwinner-cacto27
Observed: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 10, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 51.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 48.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If John Malkovich wins a Golden Globe for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Golden Globes. Any references to the “Golden Globes,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between the Golden Globes and Kalshi. The 84th Golden Globe Awards are expected to be held on January 10, 2027. Early close condition: This market will close and expire following the awards ceremony, or following the nomination announcement if John Malkovich is not nominated.

Contract: Will Jaafar Jackson win a Golden Globe Award for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXGGWINNER-CACTO27-JJAC; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxggwinner-cacto27
Observed: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 10, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 1.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Jaafar Jackson wins a Golden Globe for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Golden Globes. Any references to the “Golden Globes,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between the Golden Globes and Kalshi. The 84th Golden Globe Awards are expected to be held on January 10, 2027. Early close condition: This market will close and expire following the awards ceremony, or following the nomination announcement if Jaafar Jackson is not nominated.

Contract: Will Jordan Firstman win a Golden Globe Award for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXGGWINNER-CACTO27-JFIR; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxggwinner-cacto27
Observed: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 10, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 4.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 95.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Jordan Firstman wins a Golden Globe for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Golden Globes. Any references to the “Golden Globes,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between the Golden Globes and Kalshi. The 84th Golden Globe Awards are expected to be held on January 10, 2027. Early close condition: This market will close and expire following the awards ceremony, or following the nomination announcement if Jordan Firstman is not nominated.

Contract: Will Harry Melling win a Golden Globe Award for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXGGWINNER-CACTO27-HMEL; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxggwinner-cacto27
Observed: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 10, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 1.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Harry Melling wins a Golden Globe for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Golden Globes. Any references to the “Golden Globes,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between the Golden Globes and Kalshi. The 84th Golden Globe Awards are expected to be held on January 10, 2027. Early close condition: This market will close and expire following the awards ceremony, or following the nomination announcement if Harry Melling is not nominated.

Contract: Will Dominic Sessa win a Golden Globe Award for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXGGWINNER-CACTO27-DSES; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxggwinner-cacto27
Observed: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 10, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 1.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Dominic Sessa wins a Golden Globe for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Golden Globes. Any references to the “Golden Globes,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between the Golden Globes and Kalshi. The 84th Golden Globe Awards are expected to be held on January 10, 2027. Early close condition: This market will close and expire following the awards ceremony, or following the nomination announcement if Dominic Sessa is not nominated.

Contract: Will Brad Pitt win a Golden Globe Award for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXGGWINNER-CACTO27-BPIT; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxggwinner-cacto27
Observed: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 10, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 8.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 91.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Brad Pitt wins a Golden Globe for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Golden Globes. Any references to the “Golden Globes,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between the Golden Globes and Kalshi. The 84th Golden Globe Awards are expected to be held on January 10, 2027. Early close condition: This market will close and expire following the awards ceremony, or following the nomination announcement if Brad Pitt is not nominated.

Contract: Will Anthony Ippolito win a Golden Globe Award for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXGGWINNER-CACTO27-AIPP; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxggwinner-cacto27
Observed: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 10, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 1.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Anthony Ippolito wins a Golden Globe for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Golden Globes. Any references to the “Golden Globes,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between the Golden Globes and Kalshi. The 84th Golden Globe Awards are expected to be held on January 10, 2027. Early close condition: This market will close and expire following the awards ceremony, or following the nomination announcement if Anthony Ippolito is not nominated.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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KALSHIEntertainment