Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 27, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
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Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 27, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-26T12:00:06.088Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This contract covers a single five-minute window. According to the rules, the market "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The resolution source is the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules state that the market "is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A reader comparing this contract with a spot price chart or another platform should note that the resolution basis is this specific data stream.
Reading the snapshot
The saved snapshot was observed at 12:00:06 UTC on October 26, 2026, and retrieved at 13:31:45 UTC the same day. At observation, the quoted prices were 0.505 for "Up" and 0.495 for "Down" [1]. These are snapshot values, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The gap between them is small at that moment.
The source lists an end time of 2026-10-27T09:00:00.000Z [1]. This is the listed close, which is distinct from the observation time and the retrieval time. The contract's resolution is not reported in the evidence.
The sample covers one market from one platform, Polymarket, within one event. It is complete for this saved event, with no partial sample flag [1]. Because there is only one contract here, there is no comparison across outcomes or platforms to draw from this snapshot.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show prices after the October 26 observation, so it cannot describe the current price. It also does not explain why prices sit where they do, how many traders hold each side, or how much liquidity exists. Volume data is not included in this record. The saved event lists only the two outcomes, but the source states that the listing "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. For this binary contract, the evidence does not establish how the market will settle beyond the rule text.
References
- Polymarket: Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 27, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-26T12:00:06.088Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 26, 2026 UTCOverview
This contract is a short-horizon price question about Hyperliquid, a crypto asset. It is titled "Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 27, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET" and is listed in the Crypto category on Polymarket [1]. The contract covers a five-minute window, and its two outcomes are "Up" and "Down" [1]. The resolution rule compares two values. The contract resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The source describes the TWAP as generated by Chainlink [1]. Because the outcome depends on the average over the window rather than a single moment, a price that moves sharply near the end of the window does not by itself settle the result. The contract names a specific data feed as its resolution source. According to the source, the resolution information comes from Chainlink's HYPE/USD TWAP data stream [1]. The source also states that the market concerns the price in that Chainlink data stream for the HYPE/USD asset pair, and not any other source or spot market [1]. Traders reading prices from other exchanges or price pages therefore cannot assume those prices determine the outcome. The saved record lists an end time of 2026-10-27T09:00:00.000Z for the contract [1]. That timestamp is the listed close of the contract, not a separate announced event. The saved provider record describes the listing as active [1].
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the time-weighted average price of HYPE/USD in Chainlink's TWAP data stream, over the five-minute window named in the title, finishes at or above the price at the start of that window [1]. It is a narrow, rules-based question. The rules specify the data feed, the averaging method and the comparison point, so the result is defined by those mechanics rather than by general news about the asset [1]. Reading the contract's price requires care. A listed price for "Up" or "Down" reflects trading activity on that contract at the time it was recorded, and it is not an executable quote or a verified probability [1]. Volume and the number of trades say nothing about liquidity or how many people participated.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-26 at 12:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What price determines whether this contract resolves Up?
The contract resolves Up if the TWAP of Hyperliquid over the stated time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range [1].
Which data source decides the outcome?
The source names Chainlink's HYPE/USD TWAP data stream as the resolution source and says the market is about that stream rather than other sources or spot markets [1].
When does this contract end?
The saved record gives a listed end time of 2026-10-27T09:00:00.000Z [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.