Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T06:00:05.833Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The contract is a Polymarket market on the outcome of the boxing bout between Daniel Dubois and Fabio Wardley. It resolves to "Daniel Dubois" if Daniel Dubois is officially declared the winner, and to "Fabio Wardley" if Fabio Wardley is officially declared the winner [1]. The rules also specify a third path: if the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled before it begins, or postponed beyond October 31, 2026, the market resolves "50-50" [1]. The stated resolution source is "official information from governing body" [1]. The rules state that the fight is scheduled for October 17, 2026 [1]. That is the date in the contract text, and this evidence does not confirm whether the bout took place on that date.

Reading the snapshot

The provider observation time is 2026-10-16T06:00:05.833Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-16T07:24:00.637Z [1]. The listed end time is 2026-10-18T03:59:59.999Z [1]. These are three different timestamps: the observation time records when the price was captured, the retrieval time records when the saved source was pulled, and the listed end time is when the provider says the market closes. None of them confirms a result.

The saved prices are Daniel Dubois at 0.735 and Fabio Wardley at 0.265 [1]. These are snapshot prices from one provider event, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The market is listed as active in the saved data [1]. The sample covers one market from one event, and the saved data reports no partial sample. The provider's own sample warning says that including all saved markets "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. Because only one platform appears in this evidence, no cross-platform comparison is possible here.

Volume is not included in this evidence, so nothing can be said about liquidity or the number of traders.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not show whether the fight occurred, was postponed, or has a result. It does not explain why the prices stood where they did at the observation time. It also does not show any current status after the saved retrieval time. A reader should check the listed close time and the official governing body information named in the rules before relying on this snapshot for any later decision.

References

1. Polymarket: Daniel Dubois vs. Fabio Wardley. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T06:00:05.833Z.