ZCash Up or Down - October 19, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
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ZCash Up or Down - October 19, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Saved contracts
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zec-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-19T00:00:05.826Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Polymarket contract on the ZCash price over a 15-minute window, titled "ZCash Up or Down - October 19, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET" [1]. According to the saved rules, the market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) over that window is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of the range, and to "Down" otherwise [1].
The resolution source is the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules state that the market is "about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A reader comparing this contract with another ZCash market should check whether that other contract uses the same benchmark, window, and comparison rule.
The listed end time is 2026-10-19T23:15:00.000Z [1]. That is a listed close time in the contract data, not a confirmed resolution. The evidence does not show how or when this market resolved.
Reading the snapshot
The saved price for "Up" is 0.5 and for "Down" is 0.5 [1]. These are prices from one saved observation, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The observation time is 2026-10-19T00:00:05.826Z, and the record was retrieved at 2026-10-19T01:31:49.390Z [1]. The snapshot therefore describes the saved data at those times and should not be read as the current market.
The sample covers one market from one platform. The coverage record shows one total market, one included, and no partial sample [1]. Because the saved set contains only this contract, there is no other outcome in the sample to compare against, and no cross-platform comparison can be made from this evidence.
Equal prices of 0.5 do not by themselves indicate anything about trader agreement or the direction of the price. The evidence contains no trader counts, volume figures, or liquidity measures for this market, so none can be inferred.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show the ZCash price at the start of the window, the TWAP during the window, or the final outcome. It also does not show whether trading is still open at the time a reader views this material. The provider status recorded in the source was "active" at retrieval [1], but a reader should check the live listing before relying on that status.
The saved rules describe the resolution mechanism, but they do not establish any particular ZCash price movement. No explanation for the snapshot prices is available in the supplied evidence.
References
- Polymarket: ZCash Up or Down - October 19, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-19T00:00:05.826Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 19, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a short-duration crypto price contract on Polymarket, titled "ZCash Up or Down - October 19, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET." It is categorized under crypto and is tied to the price of ZCash (ZEC) over a single 15-minute window. The provider's rules state that the market resolves to Up if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZEC over that window is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of the window, and to Down otherwise [1]. The resolution source is Chainlink's ZEC/USD TWAP data stream, not spot prices from exchanges or other sources. The rules say the market concerns only the price shown by that Chainlink stream for the ZEC/USD pair [1]. A contract can therefore resolve differently from a price chart a reader may see elsewhere, because the reference is an averaged Chainlink series over the window. The saved snapshot lists two outcomes, Up and Down, each at 0.5 in the observed data. The listed end time is 2026-10-19T23:15:00Z, which is the close of the 7:00PM to 7:15PM ET window in the contract title [1]. The snapshot was observed at 2026-10-19T00:00:05Z and retrieved shortly after, so these prices describe that earlier moment only. They are not executable quotes and should not be read as a verified probability that ZEC rises or falls.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a narrow question: whether the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP over a specific 15-minute window finishes at or above its starting level [1]. Because the reference is an average over the window rather than a single moment, the outcome depends on price movement across the whole interval as well as the starting price. Readers should keep the contract's defined data source and time window in view when interpreting any price shown for it [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-19 at 00:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this market resolves Up or Down?
It resolves Up if the time-weighted average price of ZEC over the stated window is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that window, and Down otherwise [1].
Which price feed is used for resolution?
The resolution source is Chainlink's ZEC/USD TWAP data stream. The rules state that other sources or spot markets are not used for this contract [1].
When does the window for this contract end?
The listed end time is 2026-10-19T23:15:00Z, which corresponds to the close of the 7:15PM ET window named in the title [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.