San Jose vs Ottawa
K 87.07 contracts
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San Jose vs Ottawa
K 87.07 contracts
1
2
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 87.07 contracts
Reported volume · provider units
2
Saved contracts
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC
About This Event
SJ vs OTT (Oct 22) If X wins the San Jose vs Ottawa NHL game originally scheduled for Oct 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-17T12:00:05.894Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The Kalshi event "San Jose vs Ottawa" covers an NHL game originally scheduled for October 22, 2026. The rules state: "If X wins the San Jose vs Ottawa NHL game originally scheduled for Oct 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes" [1]. The two saved contracts are "Ottawa wins" and "San Jose wins," so each resolves on its own team's win.
The rules also cover postponement and cancellation. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its original start time, the market stays open and resolves on the official final result. If it is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, "all markets will resolve to a fair price" [1]. The event closes "after a winner is declared" [1].
Timing needs care. The source excerpt lists the end time as "not supplied" [1]. The saved market records carry an end date of 2026-10-24 23:00 UTC. That field is a provider timestamp, not an announced event date, and it does not establish when trading closes or when the game is played.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is 2026-10-17 12:00 UTC. The source was retrieved at 14:05 UTC the same day [1]. These prices describe that observation window and should not be read as live quotes.
At observation, the saved Yes prices were 0.585 for Ottawa and 0.41 for San Jose [1]. Because both contracts come from the same event and the same rules, they can be compared directly. Their Yes prices sum to about 0.995, which is close to the complementary structure of a two-outcome game. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities.
Coverage is complete for this event. The provider reports 2 total markets and 2 included, with no partial sample [1]. The sample warning says all saved markets for these events are included, but that does not establish that the provider lists every possible outcome. Here the two outcomes are the two teams, so nothing is omitted from this event. The snapshot also does not include volume, liquidity, or trader counts, so it cannot show how deep the market is.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the Ottawa price sits above the San Jose price, and this summary does not infer a reason. It also does not show whether the game will be played as scheduled, postponed, or cancelled. The excerpt contains no current team news, injury reports, or lineup information.
Prices from this snapshot may have changed since 14:05 UTC on October 17, 2026. A reader should check the provider's current page before relying on any figure. Contracts from different platforms, or from differently worded events, should not be averaged or treated as an arbitrage opportunity based on price gaps alone.
References
- Kalshi: San Jose vs Ottawa. Provider data observed 2026-10-17T12:00:05.894Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 17, 2026 UTCOverview
This market is part of a Kalshi event for an NHL game between San Jose and Ottawa. The contract rules describe the game as originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 [1]. The event lists two contracts, one titled Ottawa wins and one titled San Jose wins [1]. The rules say that if the named team wins the game, the market resolves to Yes [1]. Because the two contracts name opposite teams, they track the same game result from different sides. The rules also cover disruptions to the game. If the game is postponed but still begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market stays open and resolves based on the official final result [1]. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of its original start, the rules say all markets resolve to a fair price [1]. The rules state that the market closes and expires after a winner is declared [1]. The prices shown for these contracts are snapshots of trading activity. They are not executable quotes and should not be read as verified probabilities of either team winning.
Historical Context
The Ottawa Senators' 2025-26 season was the 34th season of the franchise in the National Hockey League [2]. That background describes the team's history and does not describe the status or result of this specific game.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the named team wins one specific game under the stated rules, not the team's wider season record [1]. Its value depends on the resolution terms: a win by the named team resolves the Yes side, a postponement that still starts within 48 hours keeps the market tied to the official final result, and a cancellation or a game that does not start within 48 hours moves all markets to a fair price [1]. Anyone reading the contract should check these terms, since they determine how the market settles in each scenario.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-17 at 12:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
Which result resolves the Yes side of the Ottawa wins contract?
The rules say that if the named team wins the San Jose vs Ottawa game originally scheduled for October 22, 2026, the market resolves to Yes [1]. The market titles point to Ottawa and San Jose as the two named teams [1].
What happens if the game is postponed?
If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official final result [1].
What happens if the game is cancelled?
If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the rules say all markets resolve to a fair price [1]. The rule text does not explain how that fair price is calculated.
When does the market close?
The rules say the market closes and expires after a winner is declared [1]. The rule text does not list a separate end time, and the end date in the market data should not be read as the game date.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
0
No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
