Snapshot observed 2026-10-17T09:00:05.996Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The event asks how many receiving touchdowns Trey McBride records in the 2026-27 NFL regular season, and it is split into four threshold markets: 4.5+, 6.5+, 8.5+, and 10.5+ [1]. Each market resolves "Yes" if his count equals or exceeds its listed number [1]. If he does not play in the regular season for any reason, every market resolves "No" [1]. If the season is cancelled, or is postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or the count cannot be determined, the markets resolve "50-50" [1]. If the season ends early, the outcome is determined from official data for completed games [1]. The listed end time is 2027-01-27T04:59:00Z [1].

Reading the snapshot

The provider recorded these Yes prices at 2026-10-17T09:00:05Z, and the evidence was retrieved at 09:58:56Z the same day [1]. The Yes prices were 0.93 for 4.5+, 0.665 for 6.5+, 0.64 for 8.5+, and 0.235 for 10.5+ [1]. Each market's No price is the complement shown in the saved data [1].

These figures are quoted snapshots from one provider. They are not executable quotes, verified probabilities, or a forecast of how the season will go. The 8.5+ Yes price is slightly lower than the 6.5+ price, but these are separate contracts with different thresholds, and the evidence does not explain that difference. Do not average the four prices or treat them as a single distribution. Volume is not included in this evidence, so it cannot indicate liquidity.

What remains uncertain

All four saved markets for this event are included, with no partial sample, but the sample warning states that this does not establish that the provider lists every possible outcome [1]. The evidence does not say what the season schedule is, when it will start or end, or whether any game has been played. It contains no injury, roster, or news information, and it does not explain why prices are where they are.

The resolution source is official NFL information, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used [1]. Because the listed end time is a date in the contract rules, it is not an announced event date. Prices may change after the retrieval time, so this snapshot should not be read as a current price.

References

1. Polymarket: Pro Football: Trey McBride 2026-27 Regular Season Receiving Touchdowns. Provider data observed 2026-10-17T09:00:05.996Z.