Head of the Charles Men's Championship Eights Winner
K 2.5K contracts
1
37
Head of the Charles Men's Championship Eights Winner
K 2.5K contracts
1
37
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 2.5K contracts
Reported volume · provider units
37
Saved contracts
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 17, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
Men's Championship Eights (2026) If Yale, bow X wins the Men's Championship Eights race at the 2026 Head of the Charles Regatta, then the market resolves to Yes. Each market refers to the specific boat entered in the race at the 2026 Head of the Charles Regatta. Multiple boats from the same institution are separate entries, identified by their official entry names and bow numbers. The winner is the entry officially classified first in this race by the regatta organizers. If there is a tie for the winner of the race, “Yes” positions will pay $1/N, rounded down to the nearest cent, where X is the number of tied boats, and “No” positions will pay 1 minus the "Yes" payout. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Head of the Charles Regatta. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-17T06:00:06.025Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The source covers the Men's Championship Eights race at the 2026 Head of the Charles Regatta [1]. Each contract refers to one specific boat entry, identified by its official entry name and bow number, and resolves to Yes if that entry is officially classified first [1]. If the race ends in a tie, Yes positions pay $1/N, rounded down to the nearest cent, where N is the number of tied boats, and No positions pay the remainder [1]. The listed close time for these markets is 2026-10-25T14:00:00.000Z, and the market closes and expires early if the event occurs [1]. The source does not supply a listed end time for the event itself, so the contract rules alone do not establish when the race takes place.
Reading the snapshot
The prices were observed at 2026-10-17T06:00:06.025Z and retrieved at 2026-10-17T08:43:33.588Z, so they describe that earlier snapshot rather than current conditions [1]. In the included rows, Holland Acht (bow 4) shows a Yes price of 0.44 and Cambridge (bow 1) shows 0.415 [1]. University of Washington (bow 2) shows 0.07, and several other entries show Yes prices between 0.03 and 0.06 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. Each row's Yes and No prices are reported separately, so the Yes figure should be read with its own No figure.
The sample is partial. The coverage record reports 37 total markets for this event and 12 included, selected by highest Yes price and then by volume [1]. The 25 omitted markets are not shown, so this excerpt supports no conclusion about where they rank or price. Volume is not supplied as a value in this excerpt, so it cannot be used to judge liquidity or the number of traders.
Each market names a different boat, so a Yes price on one entry is not directly comparable to a price on another entry, and rules or close times may differ on other platforms.
What remains uncertain
The excerpt does not explain why any price is where it is, and it does not report trader counts or race news. Only one provider event is present, so no cross-platform comparison is possible. The final result, the official classification, and any tie outcome are not in the evidence. Price differences between contracts should not be treated as an arbitrage opportunity without checking the rules, close times, and executable liquidity, none of which this snapshot provides.
References
- Kalshi: Head of the Charles Men's Championship Eights Winner. Provider data observed 2026-10-17T06:00:06.025Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 17, 2026 UTCOverview
The Head of the Charles Regatta, also called HOCR, is a rowing head race held on the penultimate complete weekend of October each year on the Charles River, which separates Boston and Cambridge, Massachusetts [2]. The Kalshi event titled "Head of the Charles Men's Championship Eights Winner" is a set of prediction contracts tied to the Men's Championship Eights race at the 2026 regatta [1]. Each contract refers to one specific boat entered in that race, so a single race produces many separate markets, one for each boat. According to the contract rules, a market resolves to Yes if the named boat wins the race. The winner is the entry that the regatta organizers officially classify first [1]. Boats from the same institution are treated as separate entries and are identified by their official entry names and bow numbers [1]. This means a Yes outcome depends on one exact boat, not on a university as a whole. The market's rules also cover ties. If more than one boat is tied for the win, each Yes position pays $1 divided by the number of tied boats, rounded down to the nearest cent, and each No position pays the remainder of the dollar after the Yes payout [1]. The rules further state that the market will close and expire early if the event occurs [1].
Historical Context
The Head of the Charles Regatta is described as the largest 3-day regatta in the world, with 11,000 athletes rowing in over 2,500 boats across 73 events [2]. The same description says the three-day event brings 225,000 people to the Greater Boston area and $72 million to the local economy, according to the Greater Boston Convention and Visitors Bureau [2]. The available sources do not cover the regatta's founding or earlier editions.
Why It Matters
Each contract measures whether one particular boat, identified by its entry name and bow number, is officially classified first in the 2026 Men's Championship Eights race [1]. Because the regatta is a large event with many entries and events [2], the market concerns a single race result within a broader competition. The price shown for each contract is a snapshot of trading at one moment and reflects how the market was pricing that boat's Yes outcome at that time. It is not an executable quote or a verified probability of the boat winning [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-17 at 06:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What must happen for a Yes outcome to resolve?
The named boat must be the entry officially classified first in the Men's Championship Eights race at the 2026 Head of the Charles Regatta [1].
How are tied races settled?
If there is a tie for the winner, Yes positions pay $1 divided by the number of tied boats, rounded down to the nearest cent, and No positions pay 1 minus the Yes payout [1].
Do boats from the same university share one market?
No. Multiple boats from the same institution are separate entries, each identified by its official entry name and bow number, and each has its own market [1].
Does the market end before the race?
The contract rules say the market will close and expire early if the event occurs [1]. The contract rules do not state a separate race date.
Is the market price the chance that a boat wins?
The prices are snapshots of trading at a specific time. They are not executable quotes or verified probabilities, so they should not be read as the official odds of any boat winning [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
0
No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
