This market is a short-window contract on the price of Solana (SOL) against US dollars. It covers the period from 1:10 AM to 1:15 AM ET on October 20, and it is titled "Solana Up or Down - October 20, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET" [1]. The provider lists it under the Polymarket platform, and its category is Crypto [1]. The resolution rule compares two prices. The contract resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The measure is therefore the average price across the five-minute window compared with the starting price, not the price at a single moment. The resolution source is Chainlink's SOL/USD TWAP data stream, which the provider identifies as a 60-second TWAP stream [1]. The rules state that only this Chainlink data stream counts. Prices from other sources or spot markets do not determine the outcome [1]. The provider lists the contract's end time as 2026-10-20T05:15:00Z [1]. That is the closing time of the contract window. It is not a resolution result. The provider observed the event at 2026-10-19T06:00:06Z, when its status was active, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-19T06:57:16Z [1]. The available evidence records the contract rules and the observed status at those times and does not show how the contract later settled. At the observation time, the saved snapshot showed "Up" at 0.505 and "Down" at 0.495 [1]. These are prices from a single snapshot, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The two outcomes sum to 1.000 in this snapshot, so the figures describe the relative pricing of the two outcomes at that moment only.

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