Solana Up or Down - November 1, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
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Solana Up or Down - November 1, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 2, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the SOL/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/sol-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair SOL/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-11-01T18:00:06.916Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Polymarket contract for the 7:00PM to 7:15PM ET window on November 1, titled "Solana Up or Down - November 1, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET" [1]. The rules state that it "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1].
The resolution source is the Chainlink SOL/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules say the market is "about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair SOL/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A reader comparing this contract with a Solana price on another venue should note that the wording ties resolution to this specific data stream and averaging method.
The listed end time is 2026-11-02T00:15:00.000Z [1]. This is the provider's listed close time, not a confirmed resolution time. The evidence does not show a resolution result.
Reading the snapshot
The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-11-01T18:00:06.916Z and retrieved at 2026-11-01T18:39:09.784Z [1]. The prices below are from the observation time, not necessarily the retrieval time or the present:
- Up: 0.505
- Down: 0.495
These values sum to 1.000. They are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The evidence contains no order book depth, spread, or volume figures, so it cannot describe liquidity or how many traders are involved.
The sample covers one market from one provider event, with no partial sampling flag [1]. Because the outcomes are binary, the Up and Down prices represent the full set of outcomes in this saved event. The evidence does not explain why the prices are where they are.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show the market's status at the time of reading, the final TWAP value, or the resolution outcome. The snapshot is from 18:00 UTC, and the retrieval time is later [1]. The rules also do not state a result, so the contract should not be treated as settled from this record.
Time zones require care. The title uses Eastern Time, while the listed end time is in UTC [1]. Readers should confirm the conversion before comparing this window with any other contract.
References
- Polymarket: Solana Up or Down - November 1, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-11-01T18:00:06.916Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 1, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-duration Polymarket contract titled "Solana Up or Down - November 1, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET" [1]. The contract asks whether the price of Solana in US dollars, measured over a 15-minute window, finishes higher or lower than where it started. The title specifies the window, which runs from 7:00PM to 7:15PM Eastern Time on November 1, 2026 [1]. The rules tie the outcome to a specific data feed rather than to general market prices. The market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price of Solana, as generated by Chainlink, over the window is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that window. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is the SOL/USD TWAP data stream published by Chainlink [1]. The rules also state that other sources and spot markets do not determine the result [1]. Because the outcome depends on an average over the window rather than the closing price, a move that briefly rises and then falls can still produce a different result than a simple before-and-after comparison would suggest. At the time of the saved snapshot, the two outcomes were priced at 0.505 for Up and 0.495 for Down [1]. These figures are snapshot prices from a single observation, not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and they do not indicate what the market will do next. The listed end time is 2026-11-02T00:15:00Z, which corresponds to the close of the 7:15PM ET window [1]. That date is the contract's closing time, not evidence that the outcome has been determined. The contract is one of a series of short-interval price questions, and this entry describes only this single window.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the time-weighted average price of Solana, as reported in the Chainlink SOL/USD TWAP data stream, over the 7:00PM to 7:15PM ET window on November 1, 2026 is at or above the price at the start of that window [1]. Anyone reading the contract's prices should note that the question concerns this specific data feed and this specific window, and that the rules exclude other sources and spot markets [1]. The contract's listed close is 2026-11-02T00:15:00Z [1], so its prices reflect expectations about that closing comparison rather than any longer-term view of Solana.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-01 at 18:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this market resolves Up or Down?
It resolves to Up if the time-weighted average price of Solana over the stated window, generated by Chainlink, is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that window. Otherwise it resolves to Down [1].
Which data source is used for resolution?
The resolution source is the SOL/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink. The rules state that the market concerns this feed and not other sources or spot markets [1].
What does the window cover?
The title specifies the window as 7:00PM to 7:15PM Eastern Time on November 1, 2026 [1]. The listed end time of the contract is 2026-11-02T00:15:00Z [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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