Market snapshot: Nov 11, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Repsol Grand Prix of Portugal Winner

Reported volume

K 882.86 contracts

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Repsol Grand Prix of Portugal Winner

Vol

K 882.86 contracts

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Current odds

Snapshot from Nov 11, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

As of Nov 11, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Marc Marquez at 33.5%.

Kalshi

Marc Marquez33.5%
Marco Bezzecchi19%
Fabio Di Giannantonio7%
Pedro Acosta5.5%
Enea Bastianini3%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

Price ChartContract price history

20 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Marc Marquez wins

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(20)

Market	Platform	Price
Marc Marquez wins	Kalshi	33.5%
Marco Bezzecchi wins	Kalshi	19.0%
Fabio Di Giannantonio wins	Kalshi	7.0%
Pedro Acosta wins	Kalshi	5.5%
Enea Bastianini wins	Kalshi	3.0%
Alex Marquez wins	Kalshi	3.0%
Ai Ogura wins	Kalshi	3.0%
Maverick Vinales wins	Kalshi	2.5%
Luca Marini wins	Kalshi	2.5%
Johann Zarco wins	Kalshi	2.5%
Joan Mir wins	Kalshi	2.5%
Jack Miller wins	Kalshi	2.5%
Iker Lecuona wins	Kalshi	2.5%
Franco Morbidelli wins	Kalshi	2.5%
Francesco Bagnaia wins	Kalshi	2.5%
Fabio Quartararo wins	Kalshi	2.5%
Diogo Moreira wins	Kalshi	2.5%
Brad Binder wins	Kalshi	2.5%
Augusto Fernandez wins	Kalshi	2.5%
Alex Rins wins	Kalshi	2.5%

Rules & Resolution

Saved matching review

Needs review: no direct pair assessment is available.

A saved event match does not establish identical settlement. Pair reviews appear with each price comparison.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 882.86 contracts

Reported volume · provider units

Saved contracts

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Nov 11, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

About This Event

Repsol Grand Prix of Portugal ('26) If X finishes first in the main race originally scheduled for Nov 15, 2026 at the 2026 Repsol Grand Prix of Portugal, then the market resolves to Yes. If X retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market for that competitor resolves to No. If the race is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the race is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Repsol Grand Prix of Portugal Winner
Source snapshot: Nov 11, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): K 882.86 contracts
Coverage: 20 of 20 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Pedro Acosta wins
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMOTOGPRACE-PORT26-PEAC; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmotogprace-port26
Observed: Nov 11, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 22, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 5.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 94.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Pedro Acosta finishes first in the main race originally scheduled for Nov 15, 2026 at the 2026 Repsol Grand Prix of Portugal, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If Pedro Acosta retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market for that competitor resolves to No. If the race is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the race is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Maverick Vinales wins
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMOTOGPRACE-PORT26-MAVI; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmotogprace-port26
Observed: Nov 11, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 22, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 2.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Maverick Vinales finishes first in the main race originally scheduled for Nov 15, 2026 at the 2026 Repsol Grand Prix of Portugal, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If Maverick Vinales retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market for that competitor resolves to No. If the race is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the race is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Marc Marquez wins
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMOTOGPRACE-PORT26-MAMA; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmotogprace-port26
Observed: Nov 11, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 22, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 408.86 contracts
Outcome Yes: 33.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 66.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Marc Marquez finishes first in the main race originally scheduled for Nov 15, 2026 at the 2026 Repsol Grand Prix of Portugal, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If Marc Marquez retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market for that competitor resolves to No. If the race is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the race is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Marco Bezzecchi wins
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMOTOGPRACE-PORT26-MABE; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmotogprace-port26
Observed: Nov 11, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 22, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 275.98 contracts
Outcome Yes: 19.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 81.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Marco Bezzecchi finishes first in the main race originally scheduled for Nov 15, 2026 at the 2026 Repsol Grand Prix of Portugal, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If Marco Bezzecchi retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market for that competitor resolves to No. If the race is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the race is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Luca Marini wins
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMOTOGPRACE-PORT26-LUMA; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmotogprace-port26
Observed: Nov 11, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 22, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 2.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Luca Marini finishes first in the main race originally scheduled for Nov 15, 2026 at the 2026 Repsol Grand Prix of Portugal, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If Luca Marini retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market for that competitor resolves to No. If the race is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the race is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Johann Zarco wins
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMOTOGPRACE-PORT26-JOZA; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmotogprace-port26
Observed: Nov 11, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 22, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 2.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Johann Zarco finishes first in the main race originally scheduled for Nov 15, 2026 at the 2026 Repsol Grand Prix of Portugal, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If Johann Zarco retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market for that competitor resolves to No. If the race is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the race is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Joan Mir wins
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMOTOGPRACE-PORT26-JOMI; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmotogprace-port26
Observed: Nov 11, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 22, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 2.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Joan Mir finishes first in the main race originally scheduled for Nov 15, 2026 at the 2026 Repsol Grand Prix of Portugal, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If Joan Mir retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market for that competitor resolves to No. If the race is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the race is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Jack Miller wins
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMOTOGPRACE-PORT26-JAMI; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmotogprace-port26
Observed: Nov 11, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 22, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 2.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Jack Miller finishes first in the main race originally scheduled for Nov 15, 2026 at the 2026 Repsol Grand Prix of Portugal, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If Jack Miller retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market for that competitor resolves to No. If the race is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the race is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Iker Lecuona wins
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMOTOGPRACE-PORT26-IKLE; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmotogprace-port26
Observed: Nov 11, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 22, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 2.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Iker Lecuona finishes first in the main race originally scheduled for Nov 15, 2026 at the 2026 Repsol Grand Prix of Portugal, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If Iker Lecuona retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market for that competitor resolves to No. If the race is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the race is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Franco Morbidelli wins
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMOTOGPRACE-PORT26-FRMO; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmotogprace-port26
Observed: Nov 11, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 22, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 2.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Franco Morbidelli finishes first in the main race originally scheduled for Nov 15, 2026 at the 2026 Repsol Grand Prix of Portugal, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If Franco Morbidelli retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market for that competitor resolves to No. If the race is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the race is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Francesco Bagnaia wins
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMOTOGPRACE-PORT26-FRBA; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmotogprace-port26
Observed: Nov 11, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 22, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 2.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Francesco Bagnaia finishes first in the main race originally scheduled for Nov 15, 2026 at the 2026 Repsol Grand Prix of Portugal, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If Francesco Bagnaia retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market for that competitor resolves to No. If the race is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the race is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Fabio Quartararo wins
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMOTOGPRACE-PORT26-FAQU; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmotogprace-port26
Observed: Nov 11, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 22, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 2.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Fabio Quartararo finishes first in the main race originally scheduled for Nov 15, 2026 at the 2026 Repsol Grand Prix of Portugal, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If Fabio Quartararo retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market for that competitor resolves to No. If the race is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the race is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Fabio Di Giannantonio wins
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMOTOGPRACE-PORT26-FADI; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmotogprace-port26
Observed: Nov 11, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 22, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 198.02 contracts
Outcome Yes: 7.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 93.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Fabio Di Giannantonio finishes first in the main race originally scheduled for Nov 15, 2026 at the 2026 Repsol Grand Prix of Portugal, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If Fabio Di Giannantonio retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market for that competitor resolves to No. If the race is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the race is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Enea Bastianini wins
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMOTOGPRACE-PORT26-ENBA; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmotogprace-port26
Observed: Nov 11, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 22, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 3.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Enea Bastianini finishes first in the main race originally scheduled for Nov 15, 2026 at the 2026 Repsol Grand Prix of Portugal, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If Enea Bastianini retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market for that competitor resolves to No. If the race is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the race is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Diogo Moreira wins
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMOTOGPRACE-PORT26-DIMO; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmotogprace-port26
Observed: Nov 11, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 22, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 2.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Diogo Moreira finishes first in the main race originally scheduled for Nov 15, 2026 at the 2026 Repsol Grand Prix of Portugal, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If Diogo Moreira retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market for that competitor resolves to No. If the race is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the race is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Brad Binder wins
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMOTOGPRACE-PORT26-BRBI; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmotogprace-port26
Observed: Nov 11, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 22, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 2.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Brad Binder finishes first in the main race originally scheduled for Nov 15, 2026 at the 2026 Repsol Grand Prix of Portugal, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If Brad Binder retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market for that competitor resolves to No. If the race is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the race is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Augusto Fernandez wins
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMOTOGPRACE-PORT26-AUFE; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmotogprace-port26
Observed: Nov 11, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 22, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 2.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Augusto Fernandez finishes first in the main race originally scheduled for Nov 15, 2026 at the 2026 Repsol Grand Prix of Portugal, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If Augusto Fernandez retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market for that competitor resolves to No. If the race is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the race is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Alex Rins wins
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMOTOGPRACE-PORT26-ALRI; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmotogprace-port26
Observed: Nov 11, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 22, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 2.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Alex Rins finishes first in the main race originally scheduled for Nov 15, 2026 at the 2026 Repsol Grand Prix of Portugal, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If Alex Rins retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market for that competitor resolves to No. If the race is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the race is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Alex Marquez wins
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMOTOGPRACE-PORT26-ALMA; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmotogprace-port26
Observed: Nov 11, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 22, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 3.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Alex Marquez finishes first in the main race originally scheduled for Nov 15, 2026 at the 2026 Repsol Grand Prix of Portugal, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If Alex Marquez retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market for that competitor resolves to No. If the race is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the race is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Ai Ogura wins
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMOTOGPRACE-PORT26-AIOG; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmotogprace-port26
Observed: Nov 11, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 22, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 3.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Ai Ogura finishes first in the main race originally scheduled for Nov 15, 2026 at the 2026 Repsol Grand Prix of Portugal, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If Ai Ogura retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market for that competitor resolves to No. If the race is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the race is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

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