Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
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Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Saved contracts
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-19T06:00:06.076Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Polymarket contract on the Hyperliquid price over a five-minute window, titled "Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET" [1]. It resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, over that window is "greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range." Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1].
The resolution source is the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, and the source states that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A price on another exchange or data feed therefore does not determine this contract's outcome.
The listed end time is 2026-10-20T03:05:00.000Z [1]. The title's Eastern time window and the listed UTC end time refer to the same moment, but the two are written in different time zones, so readers should compare them carefully.
Reading the snapshot
The saved record was observed at 2026-10-19T06:00:06Z and retrieved at 2026-10-19T08:43:02Z [1]. These are different events: the provider observation time is when the prices were recorded, and the retrieval time is when this record was collected. The contract had not reached its listed end time at retrieval.
The recorded prices are "Up" at 0.505 and "Down" at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The two outcomes sum to 1.00 in this record, so the snapshot shows a near-even split between the two outcomes.
The sample covers one market from one provider event, with no partial sampling: the coverage record reports 1 total market, 1 included, and partialSample set to false [1]. The provider status was "active" when retrieved [1]. Because all saved markets for this event are included, no outcome has been omitted from this sample, although the source notes that this does not establish that the provider lists every possible outcome [1].
What remains uncertain
The saved record does not explain why the prices stand where they do, and it does not show trading volume, liquidity, or the number of participants. This snapshot should not be read as the current price. The record is from 06:00 UTC, and the provider status and prices may have changed since then.
No outcome has been determined. The resolution depends on the Chainlink TWAP over the window, and this record contains no resolution result [1]. This single contract should not be compared with prices on other platforms or contracts without matching the rules, windows, and resolution sources.
References
- Polymarket: Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-19T06:00:06.076Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 19, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-window price contract on Polymarket titled "Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET." The contract is about the HYPE/USD price, and it asks whether the price moves up or down over a five-minute window. [1] The resolution rule compares two values. The market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down." [1] Because the comparison uses an average over the window rather than a single trade at the end, the outcome depends on how the price behaved throughout the five minutes, not only on where it stood at the close. [1] The source of the data is specified. The source states that the resolution source is Chainlink's HYPE/USD TWAP data stream, with the rule that the contract follows this Chainlink data stream and not other sources or spot markets. [1] A reader comparing this contract with a price on an exchange should therefore keep in mind that a different feed could show a different average. The rules name one feed, and that feed governs resolution. The listed end time in the provider data is 2026-10-20T03:05:00Z. [1] In Eastern Time on October 19, this corresponds to the 11:05 PM close shown in the title. This is the contract's scheduled end under its rules, and it is not evidence of any separate announcement or event.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the time-weighted average price of HYPE/USD, as reported by a specified Chainlink data stream, over a five-minute window is at or above the price at the start of that window. [1] It is a narrow, rule-defined question about short-term price direction. Its meaning depends on the stated feed and the averaging method, so it should be read as a statement about that feed rather than about Hyperliquid's price in general. [1]
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-19 at 06:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What makes this contract resolve Up?
It resolves to Up if the TWAP of Hyperliquid over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. [1]
What makes it resolve Down?
If the TWAP over the specified range is below the starting price, the contract resolves to Down. [1]
Which price source determines the outcome?
The resolution source is Chainlink's HYPE/USD TWAP data stream. The rules state that other sources and spot markets are not used. [1]
When does the contract end?
The provider lists the end time as 2026-10-20T03:05:00Z, which corresponds to 11:05 PM Eastern Time on October 19. [1]
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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