Name: RFK Akhmat Groznyi vs. FK Pari Nizhnii Novgorod - More Markets
End: 2026-05-03T16:30:00.000Z

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RFK Akhmat Groznyi vs. FK Pari Nizhnii Novgorod - More Markets | PredictPedia

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RFK Akhmat Groznyi vs. FK Pari Nizhnii Novgorod: Over/Under 1.5

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Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
RFK Akhmat Groznyi vs. FK Pari Nizhnii Novgorod: Over/Under 1.5	Poly	65%
RFK Akhmat Groznyi vs. FK Pari Nizhnii Novgorod: Both Teams to Score	Poly	50%
RFK Akhmat Groznyi vs. FK Pari Nizhnii Novgorod: Over/Under 2.5	Poly	50%
RFK Akhmat Groznyi vs. FK Pari Nizhnii Novgorod: Over/Under 3.5	Poly	36%
Spread: FK Pari Nizhnii Novgorod (-1.5)	Poly	34%
Spread: RFK Akhmat Groznyi (-1.5)	Poly	33%
Spread: RFK Akhmat Groznyi (-2.5)	Poly	33%
Spread: FK Pari Nizhnii Novgorod (-2.5)	Poly	32%
RFK Akhmat Groznyi vs. FK Pari Nizhnii Novgorod: Over/Under 4.5	Poly	30%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, April 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** RFK Akhmat Groznyi vs. FK Pari Nizhnii Novgorod - More Markets
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 3, 2026 (18 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** More markets for the Russian Premier League game, scheduled for May 3 at 12:30 PM ET.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming Russian Premier League game, scheduled for May 3 at 12:30 PM ET:

This market will resolve to "RFK Akhmat Groznyi" if RFK Akhmat Groznyi win the game by 2 or more goals.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "FK Pari Nizhnii Novgorod".

If the game is postponed, this market will re"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $11
* **Total Liquidity:** $540
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.02)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Spread: RFK Akhmat Groznyi (-1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [RFK Akhmat Groznyi: 33.0% (0.0%)] | [FK Pari Nizhnii Novgorod: 67.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Spread: FK Pari Nizhnii Novgorod (-1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [FK Pari Nizhnii Novgorod: 33.5% (0.0%)] | [RFK Akhmat Groznyi: 66.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Spread: RFK Akhmat Groznyi (-2.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [RFK Akhmat Groznyi: 33.0% (0.0%)] | [FK Pari Nizhnii Novgorod: 67.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Spread: FK Pari Nizhnii Novgorod (-2.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [FK Pari Nizhnii Novgorod: 32.0% (0.0%)] | [RFK Akhmat Groznyi: 68.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. RFK Akhmat Groznyi vs. FK Pari Nizhnii Novgorod: Over/Under 1.5
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $2
  DATA: [Over: 64.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 35.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. RFK Akhmat Groznyi vs. FK Pari Nizhnii Novgorod: Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $3
  DATA: [Over: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. RFK Akhmat Groznyi vs. FK Pari Nizhnii Novgorod: Over/Under 3.5
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $3
  DATA: [Over: 36.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 64.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. RFK Akhmat Groznyi vs. FK Pari Nizhnii Novgorod: Over/Under 4.5
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $3
  DATA: [Over: 30.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 70.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. RFK Akhmat Groznyi vs. FK Pari Nizhnii Novgorod: Both Teams to Score
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

17d 9h remaining

May 03, 2026 4:30 PM

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Average Yes Price

40¢

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RFK Akhmat Groznyi vs. FK Pari Nizhnii Novgorod: Over/Under 1.5

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Events (1)

RFK Akhmat Groznyi vs. FK Pari Nizhnii Novgorod - More Markets

Markets (9)

RFK Akhmat Groznyi vs. FK Pari Nizhnii Novgorod: Both Teams to Score

RFK Akhmat Groznyi vs. FK Pari Nizhnii Novgorod: Both Teams to Score

Spread: RFK Akhmat Groznyi (-1.5)

Spread: RFK Akhmat Groznyi (-1.5)

Spread: FK Pari Nizhnii Novgorod (-1.5)

Spread: FK Pari Nizhnii Novgorod (-1.5)

Spread: RFK Akhmat Groznyi (-2.5)

Spread: RFK Akhmat Groznyi (-2.5)

Spread: FK Pari Nizhnii Novgorod (-2.5)

Spread: FK Pari Nizhnii Novgorod (-2.5)

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

RFK Akhmat Groznyi vs. FK Pari Nizhnii Novgorod: Over/Under 1.5

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

RFK Akhmat Groznyi vs. FK Pari Nizhnii Novgorod - More Markets

RFK Akhmat Groznyi vs. FK Pari Nizhnii Novgorod: Both Teams to Score

RFK Akhmat Groznyi vs. FK Pari Nizhnii Novgorod: Both Teams to Score

Spread: RFK Akhmat Groznyi (-1.5)

Spread: RFK Akhmat Groznyi (-1.5)

Spread: FK Pari Nizhnii Novgorod (-1.5)

Spread: FK Pari Nizhnii Novgorod (-1.5)

Spread: RFK Akhmat Groznyi (-2.5)

Spread: RFK Akhmat Groznyi (-2.5)

Spread: FK Pari Nizhnii Novgorod (-2.5)

Spread: FK Pari Nizhnii Novgorod (-2.5)

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