Sweet Action II: First Week Pure Album Sales
K 0 contracts
1
6
Sweet Action II: First Week Pure Album Sales
K 0 contracts
1
6
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Nov 13, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Above 8K at 48.5%.
Kalshi
- Above 8K48.5%
- Above 6K48.5%
- Above 4K48.5%
- Above 2K48.5%
- Above 1K48.5%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 0 contracts
Reported volume · provider units
6
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 13, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
About This Event
Sweet Action II | November 06, 2026 - November 12, 2026 If Sweet Action II by Jack Harlow has above X Pure Album Sales, aka Product Sales, during the November 06, 2026 - November 12, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes. IMPORTANT INFORMATION: This event pertains to the U.S. and will resolve based on the value reported by Luminate’s API as of 10:00 AM ET on the Sunday immediately following the November 06, 2026 - November 12, 2026 tracking week. Luminate Data, LLC is a neutral provider of market metrics which does not endorse, verify or participate in any way in the outcomes of any prediction market. This market will close and expire the Sunday immediately following November 06, 2026 - November 12, 2026 tracking week.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-11-11T18:00:06.159Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This snapshot covers one Kalshi event, "Sweet Action II: First Week Pure Album Sales," with six threshold contracts. Each asks whether Sweet Action II by Jack Harlow will have more than a stated number of Pure Album Sales, also called Product Sales, during the November 06, 2026 to November 12, 2026 tracking week [1]. The thresholds are 1000, 2000, 4000, 6000, 8000, and 10000 [1].
The rules specify the resolution source. The event pertains to the U.S. and resolves on the value reported by Luminate's API as of 10:00 AM ET on the Sunday immediately following the tracking week [1]. The excerpt states that Luminate is a neutral provider that does not endorse or verify any prediction market outcome [1]. The market data lists an end date of 2026-11-19T15:00:00.000Z, while the event excerpt says "Listed end time: not supplied" [1]. That difference should be checked on the platform before relying on any timing.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed these prices at 2026-11-11T18:00:06.159Z, and this application retrieved the record at 2026-11-11T19:52:17.806Z [1]. These are snapshots, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. They may not reflect current prices.
The five lower thresholds (1000 through 8000) each show a Yes price of 0.485 and a No price of 0.515 in this snapshot [1]. The 10000 threshold shows Yes at 0.025 and No at 0.975 [1]. The 10000 contract therefore carried a much lower Yes price than the others at this observation time. The record does not explain why the prices were set this way, and it does not include volume, liquidity, or trader counts.
The sample covers all six saved markets for this event, with no omissions (6 of 6 included) [1]. Because only one event is included, no cross-platform comparison is made here, and no average is taken across contracts with different thresholds.
What remains uncertain
The snapshot does not show whether prices have changed since the observation time. The record also does not show actual sales figures, because resolution depends on Luminate's reported value at a future time. The source says nothing about outcomes beyond the supplied rules [1]. The sample warning states that the saved markets do not establish that the provider lists every possible real-world outcome [1].
References
- Kalshi: Sweet Action II: First Week Pure Album Sales. Provider data observed 2026-11-11T18:00:06.159Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 11, 2026 UTCOverview
This market concerns the first-week pure album sales of Sweet Action II by Jack Harlow. The contract covers the tracking week of November 06, 2026 through November 12, 2026, and asks whether the album's Pure Album Sales, also called Product Sales, will be above a stated threshold during that week [1]. Pure Album Sales is the measure the contract names, so each market is about that count rather than streams, chart position, or any other figure [1]. The contract states that it pertains to the U.S. and will resolve based on the value reported by Luminate's API as of 10:00 AM ET on the Sunday immediately following the tracking week [1]. The contract also says the market will close and expire on that Sunday [1]. The market data lists an end date of November 19, 2026 at 15:00 UTC for each contract in this set [1]. That date is the recorded contract end time in the market data. It is not a separately announced event, and the contract rules describe the resolution timing in terms of the Sunday after the tracking week [1]. The market set is built from six threshold contracts, each asking whether the count will be above 1,000, 2,000, 4,000, 6,000, 8,000, or 10,000 Pure Album Sales [1]. All six saved markets for this event are included, and the sample is not partial [1]. This shows the markets saved for this one Kalshi event only. It does not establish that every possible outcome is listed. The snapshot shows Yes at 0.485 and No at 0.515 for the contracts at 1,000 through 8,000 [1]. The contract at 10,000 shows Yes at 0.05 and No at 0.95 [1]. These are recorded prices from one observation. They are not executable quotes and not verified probabilities of the album reaching any threshold. The matching prices across five thresholds are a feature of this snapshot and should not be read as a forecast that the counts will be equal.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a single sales figure, Pure Album Sales, for one tracking week in the United States. Because the rules tie resolution to one provider value at one stated time, the outcome depends on the figure Luminate reports rather than on any later revision or outside estimate that the contract does not name [1]. Each threshold market turns on whether that reported count is above a specific number, so the set of six contracts shows how the price of the Yes outcome changes across different sales levels in one snapshot [1]. Readers should keep the observation time of the prices separate from the contract's closing time and the resolution time, since each refers to a different point in the process [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-11 at 12:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does this contract measure?
It measures Pure Album Sales, also called Product Sales, for Sweet Action II by Jack Harlow during the November 06, 2026 through November 12, 2026 tracking week, in the U.S. [1].
Which value decides the outcome?
The contract says it will resolve based on the value Luminate's API reports as of 10:00 AM ET on the Sunday immediately following the tracking week [1].
Do the six markets have different thresholds?
Yes. The saved markets ask whether Pure Album Sales will be above 1,000, 2,000, 4,000, 6,000, 8,000, or 10,000 during the tracking week [1].
Do the prices show the chance that the album will reach each level?
No. The prices are recorded snapshots from one observation time. They are not executable quotes or verified probabilities [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
Sweet Action II: First Week Album Equivalent Units
K 11.7K contracts
Grand Theft Auto VI · The Album: First Week Pure Album Sales
K 26.6K contractsCarnaval De Luz: First Week Pure Album Sales
K 442 contractsThe Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping - The Album: First Week Pure Album Sales
K 25 contracts
Sweet Action II: First Week Streams
K 0 contractsDream Fatigue: First Week Pure Album Sales
K 566 contractsMarket Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
