Benevento vs L.R. Vicenza: Spread
K 0 contracts
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4
Benevento vs L.R. Vicenza: Spread
K 0 contracts
1
4
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 0 contracts
Reported volume · provider units
4
Saved contracts
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 17, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
BEN vs VIC (Oct 17) If L.R. Vicenza wins by more than X goals in the Benevento vs L.R. Vicenza professional Serie B soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T21:00:06.041Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The Kalshi event asks whether a margin threshold is met in one match. Under the quoted rules, a Vicenza market resolves to Yes if "L.R. Vicenza wins by more than X goals" in the Benevento vs L.R. Vicenza Serie B game "after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties" [1]. The four saved markets cover Vicenza by more than 2.5 goals, Vicenza by more than 1.5 goals, Benevento by more than 1.5 goals, and Benevento by more than 2.5 goals [1]. Each is a separate yes or no contract, so readers should compare them individually rather than summing them or treating them as one probability distribution.
The rules state that the market "will close and expire after a winner is declared" [1]. The market data lists an end date of 2026-10-19T13:00:00.000Z for all four markets [1]. The source excerpt, however, says "Listed end time: not supplied" [1]. The listed date should therefore be read as a provider field, not a confirmed closing time for the match. The "Oct 17" in the title refers to the scheduled game date.
Reading the snapshot
The prices were observed at 2026-10-16T21:00:06.041Z and retrieved by PredictPedia at 2026-10-17T00:19:29.005Z [1]. They describe only that saved moment. They are not executable quotes and do not show current trading.
In the saved snapshot, the Yes price for Vicenza by more than 2.5 goals was 0.495, while the Yes price for Benevento by more than 2.5 goals was 0.105 [1]. These are different contracts, so the gap between them should not be read as an arbitrage opportunity or as a direct comparison of likelihood. The Yes prices for the 1.5 goal thresholds were 0.1 for Vicenza and 0.24 for Benevento [1]. The order of markets in the sample follows the provider selection rule, which sorts by Yes price, not a ranking of outcomes.
What remains uncertain
The sample is complete for this saved Kalshi event: all four markets are included and partialSample is false [1]. The source still cautions that this "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. Only one provider appears here, so no cross-platform comparison is possible.
The evidence does not explain why prices are where they are, and it contains no information on team news, lineups, or how many traders hold each position. It also does not report a final score or show whether any market has resolved.
References
- Kalshi: Benevento vs L.R. Vicenza: Spread. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T21:00:06.041Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 17, 2026 UTCOverview
This article covers a Kalshi spread event for a Serie B soccer match between Benevento and L.R. Vicenza. The event page describes the match as originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 [1]. A spread contract asks whether one team will win by more than a set number of goals, so the outcome depends on the margin of victory rather than on the match winner alone. The contract rules define the measurement window. According to the rules, the margin is counted after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, and extra time and penalties are not included [1]. A result decided in a shootout therefore does not change the goal margin used for these contracts. The rules also state that the market resolves to Yes if the named team wins by more than the stated number of goals [1]. The event page further states that the market will close and expire after a winner is declared [1]. The event page notes that Kalshi is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or officially connected to the governing league, and that trademarks belong to their owners [1]. The page lists the provider status as active but does not supply a listed end time [1]. In the saved market records, the event includes four contracts: whether L.R. Vicenza wins by more than 1.5 goals, whether L.R. Vicenza wins by more than 2.5 goals, whether Benevento wins by more than 1.5 goals, and whether Benevento wins by more than 2.5 goals. Each contract has a Yes and a No outcome, and each is recorded with the status active. The market records list an end date of October 19, 2026 at 13:00 UTC. That field is a listing value and should not be read as the date of the match or the date the result is known.
Why It Matters
A spread contract measures the goal margin in a specific match, not simply which team wins. The rules define a single threshold for each contract, and the Yes outcome occurs only if the named team's margin is greater than that threshold after the defined regulation period [1]. Readers comparing the four contracts should keep each threshold and team separate, since each contract answers a different question about the same match. The saved prices are snapshots from the provider observation time, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. A price shows the last reported level in the saved data, not what a trader could buy or sell at a given moment. The four contracts are not a complete list of every possible margin, so an unlisted margin should not be assumed to carry a particular price.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-16 at 21:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
Does a penalty shootout affect whether these contracts resolve?
The rules say the measurement is made after 90 minutes plus stoppage time and does not include extra time or penalties [1]. Under that wording, a shootout does not change the goal margin used to settle the contract.
What does a Yes outcome mean on these contracts?
According to the rules, the market resolves to Yes if the named team wins by more than the stated number of goals in the match under the defined time period [1].
Is the listed end date the date of the match?
The rules describe the match as originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 [1]. The saved market records show a separate end date of October 19, 2026 at 13:00 UTC, but the event page does not supply a listed end time, so that field should not be read as the match or resolution date [1].
Are the prices a forecast of the result?
The prices are snapshots of market data at a recorded observation time. They are not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and a higher price does not establish that an outcome is more likely to occur [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
