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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETTech

Gemini 3.2 released by...?

Name: Gemini 3.2 released by...?
End: 2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$9.96K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Gemini 3.2 released by...?

Vol

$9.96K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $9.96K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $9.96K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

5 markets tracked

Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?	Poly	71%
Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?	Poly	41%
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	Poly	31%
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	Poly	20%
Gemini 3.2 released by May 8, 2026?	Poly	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

71%

Top Probability

$9.96K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 3.2 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Gemini 3.2 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.2, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Gemini 3.1, similar to the progression from Gemini 3 to Gemini 3.1. (e.g., Gemini 3.2 GA, Gemini 3.2/3.3/3.4, etc., in any variant, like Pro/Deep Think/Flash/Flash-lite, would qualify toward a "Yes" resolut

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Gemini 3.2 released by...?
**Category:** Tech | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jun 30, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 3.2 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Gemini 3.2 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.2, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Gemini 3.1, similar to the progression from Gemini 3 to Gemini 3.1. (e.g., Gemini 3.2 GA, Gemini 3.2/3.3/3.4, etc., in any variant, like Pro/Deep Think/Flash/Flash-lite, would qualify toward a "Yes" resolut

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 3.2 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Gemini 3.2 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.2, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Gemini"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $10.0K
* **Total Liquidity:** $38.3K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.26)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 40.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 30, 2026): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 71.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 29.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Gemini 3.2 released by May 8, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 8, 2026): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.8% (0.0%)]

### 4. Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 22, 2026): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 31.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 69.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 15, 2026): Vol $2.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 19.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETTech