M25 Columbus, OH: Victor Lilov vs Hiroki Sakagawa
PM $251.84
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M25 Columbus, OH: Victor Lilov vs Hiroki Sakagawa
PM $251.84
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1
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $251.84
Reported volume · provider units
1
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 11, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market refers to the tennis match between Victor Lilov and Hiroki Sakagawa in the M25 Columbus, OH, Main Draw, originally scheduled for November 11, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Victor Lilov' if Victor Lilov advances against Hiroki Sakagawa. This market will resolve to 'Hiroki Sakagawa' if Hiroki Sakagawa advances against Victor Lilov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Snapshot observed 2026-11-11T06:00:06.327Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This Polymarket event asks who will advance in the tennis match between Victor Lilov and Hiroki Sakagawa in the M25 Columbus, OH Main Draw. The rules say the market "will resolve to 'Victor Lilov' if Victor Lilov advances against Hiroki Sakagawa," and the reverse for Sakagawa [1]. The match was "originally scheduled for November 11, 2026 at 12:00PM ET" [1].
The rules also set several 50-50 outcomes. These include a match that is canceled or not played at all, a tie, a walkover, or a case where "a winner has not been determined by November 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start)" [1]. If a player advances because the opponent retires, defaults, or is disqualified after the match begins, the market resolves to the player who advances [1]. The stated primary resolution source is the International Tennis Federation, and "A consensus of credible reporting may also be used" [1].
The listed end time is 2026-11-18T17:00:00.000Z [1]. That time is a platform field, not the rule for when the winner is determined. The rules themselves refer to the November 25 deadline for a winner.
Reading the snapshot
The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-11-11T06:00:06.327Z and retrieved at 2026-11-11T06:13:19.053Z [1]. It records one market, with Victor Lilov at 0.63 and Hiroki Sakagawa at 0.37 [1]. These are prices from that saved snapshot only. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities.
Coverage is complete for this saved event: one market was found, one was included, and the sample is not partial [1]. Even so, the source notes that including all saved markets "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. Because this is a two-name match with 50-50 fallback rules, the two listed prices are the only outcome prices in this snapshot.
Volume is not included in the statement above, so no conclusion about liquidity or trader numbers can be drawn from this evidence.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show the match's current status, whether it has started, or whether it has been completed. It also does not show any reason for the prices. Any comparison with another platform would need to match the same wording, outcomes, and close times. A different contract with different 50-50 rules or deadlines should not be treated as the same question, and a price gap between them is not by itself an arbitrage opportunity.
References
- Polymarket: M25 Columbus, OH: Victor Lilov vs Hiroki Sakagawa. Provider data observed 2026-11-11T06:00:06.327Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 11, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia contract concerns a tennis match between Victor Lilov and Hiroki Sakagawa in the M25 Columbus, OH Main Draw. The provider describes the match as originally scheduled for November 11, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET [1]. The contract resolves to the player who advances. If Lilov advances against Sakagawa, the market resolves to Victor Lilov, and if Sakagawa advances, it resolves to Hiroki Sakagawa [1]. The rules also cover situations where a winner is not clearly determined. If the match is canceled without being played, ends in a tie, or has no determined winner by November 25, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, which the provider describes as 14 days after the scheduled start, the market resolves 50-50 [1]. A match that begins but is not completed resolves to whichever player advances, for example after an opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification [1]. A walkover, where a player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically, also resolves 50-50 [1]. The provider names the International Tennis Federation as the primary resolution source and allows a consensus of credible reporting to be used [1]. The provider's saved record lists an end time of November 18, 2026 at 17:00 UTC [1]. That field is a listed end time in the provider data, not the resolution deadline stated in the rules, and it does not indicate when the match was played or decided.
Why It Matters
The contract measures which of the two named players advances in this specific match, as defined by the provider's rules [1]. Because the rules spell out how retirements, default, disqualification, walkovers, cancellations, and undetermined outcomes are handled, the contract's result depends on those definitions as well as on the match result [1]. Readers should check the rules text and the resolution source before interpreting any price shown for the contract.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-11 at 06:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What wins this contract?
The contract resolves to Victor Lilov if he advances against Hiroki Sakagawa, and to Hiroki Sakagawa if he advances against Victor Lilov [1].
What happens if the match is canceled or not played?
If the match is canceled, meaning not played at all, the market resolves 50-50 [1].
What happens if a player retires during the match?
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances because the opponent retired, was defaulted, or was disqualified, the market resolves to the player who advances [1].
What is the resolution source?
The primary resolution source is official information from the International Tennis Federation, and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.