Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
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Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Oct 26, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-25T12:00:06.222Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This contract is a short-window "Up or Down" market on Hyperliquid. According to the rules, it "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The window named in the title is October 26, 7:50AM to 7:55AM ET [1].
The resolution source is the Chainlink HYPE/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules state that the market "is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A reader should not assume that spot exchange prices, other oracles, or other venues determine the outcome.
Reading the snapshot
The saved provider observation was taken at 2026-10-25T12:00:06Z, and the record was retrieved at 2026-10-25T12:46:11Z [1]. These are snapshot times, not the current state of the market. The provider reported the market as active at retrieval, and the listed end time is 2026-10-26T11:55:00Z [1]. That listed end time is when the contract closes, not the moment the outcome is known, and the record does not show a resolution.
The saved prices were Up at 0.505 and Down at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot quotes, not executable prices or verified probabilities. The record does not include volume, depth, or the number of traders, so it says nothing about liquidity.
This sample covers one market from one provider event, and the coverage record shows 1 of 1 markets included with no partial sample [1]. No other outcomes or platforms are compared here, so no cross-market ranking applies.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the prices stood where they did at the observation time. It also cannot show how the TWAP will compare with the starting price, since the window had not occurred when the record was retrieved. Because the contract was active and unresolved in the saved record, any reading of these numbers should be treated as a point-in-time snapshot. Readers who see a different price on another platform should compare the exact rule wording and listed close time first, since a contract with different resolution terms is not directly equivalent.
References
- Polymarket: Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-25T12:00:06.222Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 25, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-window price contract on Polymarket titled "Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET." The contract asks whether the HYPE/USD price over a five-minute window will finish at or above where it started. The source describes the market as active, with a listed end time of 2026-10-26T11:55:00.000Z [1]. The resolution rule uses a time-weighted average price rather than a single trade. According to the source, the market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. Averaging over the window means a brief spike or dip at the start or end of the five minutes does not decide the outcome by itself. The source names Chainlink's HYPE/USD TWAP data stream as the resolution source [1]. It also states that the market concerns the price in that Chainlink data stream for the HYPE/USD pair, and not any other sources or spot markets [1]. A contract with a different provider, pair, or averaging method would follow different rules, so price comparisons should be limited to contracts with the same resolution terms. The saved snapshot shows "Up" at 0.505 and "Down" at 0.495 [1]. These are observed prices from the provider's record, not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and they describe a single moment rather than the present. The sample contains one market with two outcomes, and the source's sample note indicates that all saved markets for this event are included.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the Chainlink HYPE/USD TWAP over the stated five-minute window is greater than or equal to the window's starting price [1]. Its value depends on that specific data stream and averaging rule, so it reflects the chosen oracle's price series rather than any other exchange or market [1]. Because it resolves in a very short interval, it is a narrow contract about short-term price direction under those exact terms.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-25 at 12:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this market resolves Up or Down?
The market resolves Up if the time-weighted average price of HYPE/USD from Chainlink over the stated time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves Down [1].
Which data source is used to settle the contract?
The stated resolution source is Chainlink's HYPE/USD TWAP data stream [1]. The source says the market is not based on any other sources or spot markets [1].
When does the contract's listed window end?
The listed end time is 2026-10-26T11:55:00.000Z, and the title gives the window as 7:50AM to 7:55AM ET on October 26 [1].
Do the displayed prices indicate the likely outcome?
The saved snapshot shows Up at 0.505 and Down at 0.495 [1]. These are provider-recorded prices at one observation time, not executable quotes or verified probabilities, so they do not establish which outcome is more likely.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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