Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

This snapshot covers five Polymarket markets from one event, "Pro Football: Chase Brown 2026-27 Regular Season Rushing Touchdowns" [1]. Each market asks whether Chase Brown will record at least a given number of rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season, with thresholds of 1.5, 3.5, 5.5, 7.5, and 9.5 [1]. The rules state that the market resolves "No" if Brown does not play in the season for any reason, and that the outcome will be determined from official data for completed games if the season is shortened or ends early [1]. The rules also say that if the season is cancelled, or postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or if the count cannot be determined, the market resolves to "50-50" [1]. The listed end time for every market is 2027-01-27T04:59:00.000Z [1]. That date is a contract closing field, not an announced game or event date.

Reading the snapshot

The provider observation time is 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z, and the evidence was retrieved at 2026-10-16T04:47:25.739Z [1]. These prices describe that observed moment only. The Yes prices were 0.88 for 1.5 or more, 0.825 for 3.5 or more, 0.635 for 7.5 or more, 0.39 for 5.5 or more, and 0.315 for 9.5 or more [1]. Listed in threshold order, the Yes prices are 0.88, 0.825, 0.39, 0.635, and 0.315, so they do not fall in a single straight line. Each market's Yes and No prices sum to 1 in the saved data [1].

These are contract snapshots, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The volume values in the record do not show liquidity or how many people traded, so they are not used here. Each threshold is a separate contract with its own wording, so the prices should not be averaged or combined with one another. Different contracts from other platforms or events should not be compared as if they were the same question.

What remains uncertain

The saved record includes all five markets from this event, and the partial sample flag is false [1]. The sample warning still notes that the providers may not list every possible real-world outcome [1]. The evidence contains no explanation of why these prices are where they are, and no recent news or trader information. The record also does not establish whether Brown will play, whether the season will run in full, or how the official count will be reported. Readers should check the full contract rules and the official resolution source before relying on any of these figures.

References

1. Polymarket: Pro Football: Chase Brown 2026-27 Regular Season Rushing Touchdowns. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z.