NCAA Football: Team to be Ranked #1 in the Week 9 AP Poll
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NCAA Football: Team to be Ranked #1 in the Week 9 AP Poll
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Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Ohio St. at 50%.
Polymarket
- Ohio St.50%
- Notre Dame50%
- Georgia50%
- Indiana50%
- Texas Tech50%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $0
Reported volume · provider units
40
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to the team ranked #1 (first position) of the Week 9 Associated Press (AP) Top 25 college football poll for the 2026 season. The "Week 9 AP poll" refers to the AP Top 25 poll released in Week 9 of the 2026 regular season, expected on November 1, 2026. The preseason poll does not count. If the team ranked #1 is not among the listed teams, this market will resolve to "Other". If the AP does not release a Week 9 poll for the 2026 season by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, resolution will be based on the first official in-season AP Top 25 poll published thereafter. The primary resolution source will be the official Associated Press Top 25 college football poll (https://apnews.com/hub/ap-top-25-college-football-poll); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-26T18:00:06.173Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The contract resolves to the team ranked first in the Week 9 Associated Press Top 25 college football poll for the 2026 season. The contract text says the preseason poll does not count and that the poll is "expected on November 1, 2026" [1]. That date comes from the contract's description, not from a confirmed release announcement in the supplied evidence.
If the AP does not release a Week 9 poll by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, resolution uses the first official in-season AP Top 25 poll published after that. If the first-ranked team is not among the listed teams, the market resolves to "Other" [1]. The listed end time is 2026-11-02T04:59:00Z [1]. The primary source is the AP poll, though the text notes that "a consensus of credible reporting may also be used" [1].
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed these prices at 2026-10-26T18:00:06Z, and the record was retrieved at 2026-10-26T20:47:14Z [1]. These are historical snapshots, not live quotes. They are not executable prices and do not establish probabilities.
The sample covers 12 of 40 markets in this one Polymarket event, so it is partial [1]. Each included market is a separate Yes/No contract asking whether a specific team will be ranked first. Every included contract shows Yes at 0.5 and No at 0.5 [1]. Because all 12 share the same price, the sample does not show which teams rank higher or lower. The selection rule sorts by Yes price, then volume, but the saved records do not show the volume values, so the ordering among these tied markets cannot be read from this evidence. The omitted 28 markets have no supplied prices, so nothing can be inferred about them.
Volume, where it exists, is not liquidity or a count of traders. The evidence contains no trader counts.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain any price movement, and it contains no news about the rankings. Because the contract rules and the listed end time differ from the observation time, a reader should not treat the 0.5 values as current prices. The rules also leave room for a fallback poll, a consensus-of-reporting basis, or an "Other" outcome, so the wording matters for interpretation.
Different contracts with different wording or close times should not be compared as if they were the same outcome. A 0.5 price on one team's contract is not directly comparable to a price on a different event.
References
- Polymarket: NCAA Football: Team to be Ranked #1 in the Week 9 AP Poll. Provider data observed 2026-10-26T18:00:06.173Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 26, 2026 UTCOverview
This contract concerns the team ranked first in the Week 9 Associated Press (AP) Top 25 college football poll for the 2026 season [1]. The rules say the market resolves to the team in that first position, and if that team is not one of the teams listed in the market, it resolves to "Other" [1]. The preseason poll does not count [1]. The rules describe the Week 9 poll as expected on November 1, 2026 [1]. That date comes from the contract rules and is not confirmed here as the release date of an announced poll. If the AP does not publish a Week 9 poll for 2026 by November 1, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, resolution will instead be based on the first official in-season AP Top 25 poll published after that point [1]. The primary resolution source is the official AP Top 25 college football poll, though the rules also allow a consensus of credible reporting to be used [1]. The listed end time for the event is 2026-11-02T04:59:00Z [1]. That listed time is when the contract is set to close. It is not the same as the time the poll is released or the time the market is resolved. The college football ranking landscape has several polls. The AP poll and the Coaches Poll are the two main weekly polls that begin in the preseason, and the College Football Playoff ranking is usually released starting midway through the season [3]. The NCAA does not itself award a national championship at the FBS level, and that title is instead bestowed by one or more polling agencies [3]. This contract depends only on the AP poll, not on the Coaches Poll or the College Football Playoff ranking [1][3].
Historical Context
The Wikipedia list of college football teams by weekly appearances atop the AP poll describes itself as covering the poll since its inception in 1936 through October 25, 2026 [2]. That page is a historical reference and does not by itself confirm who is ranked first in any current or upcoming week. The excerpt supplied does not list the teams that have held the top spot, so this article does not name any. The broader FBS ranking landscape is described in a separate Wikipedia reference. It explains that two human polls and a committee's selections make up the 2025 NCAA Division I FBS rankings, along with various preseason publications' polls [3]. That reference covers the 2025 season and is background only.
Why It Matters
The contract measures which team the AP places first in its Week 9 Top 25 poll for the 2026 season [1]. Traders following this market are therefore tracking the AP ranking rather than game results, preseason expectations, or other polls. The rules make the preseason poll irrelevant to resolution [1]. The rules also make clear that a weekly poll with a specific release date may not be the final basis for resolution if the AP does not publish a Week 9 poll on time [1]. Anyone reading a price should keep the resolution path in mind, because the contract can resolve to a later in-season poll under the fallback rule [1]. The AP poll is one of several college football rankings. The CFP ranking, for example, determines who makes the twelve-team playoff, but it is a separate ranking and is not the basis of this contract [3].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-26 at 18:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
Does the preseason AP poll count toward this contract?
No. The rules state that the preseason poll does not count, and resolution is based on the Week 9 AP Top 25 poll for the 2026 season [1].
What happens if the AP does not release a Week 9 poll by November 1, 2026?
Resolution will be based on the first official in-season AP Top 25 poll published after that deadline, measured against the November 1, 2026 11:59 PM ET cutoff stated in the rules [1].
What does the market resolve to if the top-ranked team is not one of the listed teams?
It resolves to "Other" [1].
Is the AP poll the same as the College Football Playoff ranking?
No. The AP poll and the Coaches Poll are weekly polls that begin in the preseason, while the College Football Playoff ranking is usually released starting midway through the season and determines the twelve-team playoff [3]. This contract uses only the AP poll as its resolution source [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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