Solana Up or Down - October 27, 2PM ET
PM $0
1
1
Solana Up or Down - October 27, 2PM ET
PM $0
1
1
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $0
Reported volume · provider units
1
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the SOL/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-25T18:00:06.091Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This contract covers one Solana price comparison on Polymarket. It resolves to "Up" if the SOL/USDT one-hour candle for the time in the title closes at or above its open. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The source states that the resolution source is Binance's SOL/USDT pair, and that the market "is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs" [1]. A reader comparing this contract with a different Solana market should check whether that market uses the same exchange, pair, and candle definition.
The title reads "Solana Up or Down - October 27, 2PM ET," while the listed end time is 2026-10-27T19:00:00.000Z [1]. The rules tie resolution to the candle that begins at the time in the title, and they say the candle's open and close will be used "once the data for that candle is finalized" [1]. The listed end time and the title time are expressed in different formats, so readers should confirm how they map to each other before relying on either one.
Reading the snapshot
The saved snapshot shows two outcomes: Up at 0.505 and Down at 0.495 [1]. These are prices from a single observation, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The two prices sum to 1.00 in this snapshot, but a reader should not treat either number as a forecast of what will happen.
The observation time is 2026-10-25T18:00:06.091Z. The source was retrieved at 2026-10-25T19:13:04.272Z [1]. These are different moments, and neither is the contract's close. The snapshot describes the market as it was recorded at the observation time and says nothing about its state now. The provider status at retrieval was "active" [1].
The sample covers one market from one provider event. Coverage reports one total market, one included market, and no partial sample [1]. Because only this contract is included, there is no comparison set here, and nothing about other contracts should be inferred from these prices.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not include trading volume, liquidity, depth, or the number of participants, so none of those can be described. A price of 0.505 does not indicate how much could be traded at that level.
The evidence also does not explain why the prices stand where they do, and it contains no news or other context about Solana. It does not show how the contract will resolve, since the resolution depends on Binance data for a candle that had not closed at the time of the snapshot. Readers should review the full rules on the provider's page and check the latest prices from the provider, not rely on this snapshot.
References
- Polymarket: Solana Up or Down - October 27, 2PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-25T18:00:06.091Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 25, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-term crypto contract titled "Solana Up or Down - October 27, 2PM ET," listed in the Crypto category on Polymarket [1]. The contract asks whether the price of Solana in dollar terms will move up or down over a single one-hour trading period. It does not ask about Solana's longer-term price, its market value, or events in the wider crypto market. The contract is tied to one specific one-hour candle, the one that begins at the date and time shown in the title. The rules say the market resolves to "Up" if the candle's close is greater than or equal to its open, and to "Down" otherwise [1]. The reference data is the SOL/USDT pair on Binance, and the source states that the close and open shown at the top of the chart for that one-hour candle will be used once the candle's data is finalized [1]. The rules also specify that prices on other exchanges or trading pairs do not count [1]. The listed end time for the contract is 2026-10-27T19:00:00 UTC [1]. That time marks the end of the one-hour window under the listed rules. A contract's end time is the point at which the price window closes, and the outcome is determined only after the candle data is finalized. The end time is therefore not the same as the moment the market is settled or paid out.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a narrow question: whether SOL/USDT on Binance finishes the specified one-hour candle at or above where it started. Because the resolution rule compares only the open and close of that single candle, price movements within the hour that reverse before the close do not affect the result [1]. The rule also treats an exact tie as an "Up" outcome, since a close equal to the open resolves to "Up" [1]. The current observed prices show the two outcomes trading close together. In the saved snapshot, "Up" was priced at 0.505 and "Down" at 0.495 [1]. These are prices recorded at the observation time, not executable quotes, and they should not be read as verified probabilities of the outcome. The event contains only this single market, so the snapshot does not compare multiple contracts or outcomes beyond these two [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-25 at 18:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this contract resolves Up or Down?
The contract compares the close and open of the one-hour SOL/USDT candle that begins at the time in the title. If the close is greater than or equal to the open, it resolves to "Up." Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1].
Which price source is used for resolution?
The resolution source is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT pair. Prices from other exchanges or trading pairs are not used under the listed rules [1].
When does the contract's listed window end?
The listed end time is 2026-10-27T19:00:00 UTC [1]. The rules say the outcome depends on finalized candle data, so the end time does not by itself settle the contract.
Does a price in this market indicate the likelihood of an outcome?
Not on its own. The price is a snapshot from the observation time and is not an executable quote or a verified probability [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
Solana Up or Down - October 27, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
PM $21.76Solana Up or Down - October 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
PM $21.76Solana Up or Down - October 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
PM $21.76Solana Up or Down - October 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
PM $21.57
Solana Up or Down - October 27, 1PM ET
PM $0
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2PM ET
PM $0Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.