Lafayette vs. Colgate
PM $15
1
20
Lafayette vs. Colgate
PM $15
1
20
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $15
Reported volume · provider units
20
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 11, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
About This Event
In the upcoming college football game between Lafayette and Colgate, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Lafayette" if Lafayette win the game. This market will resolve to "Colgate" if Colgate win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-11-03T09:00:06.018Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The provider event for Lafayette vs. Colgate lists contracts with different rules. Under the event rules, a winner contract resolves to "Lafayette" if Lafayette wins and to "Colgate" if Colgate wins, and [1] states that "Overtime is included if played." The same excerpt says that "If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50." It also gives a no-result rule: if the game "is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50" [1].
The sampled markets are not winner contracts. They are Over/Under contracts at lines from 49.5 to 61.5 and point-spread contracts. The excerpt gives the originally scheduled start as "Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET," and the listed end time is "2026-11-14T18:00:00.000Z" [1]. Read the listed end time as a provider field, not a confirmed game result time.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed these prices at 2026-11-03T09:00:06.018Z. The application retrieved the record at 2026-11-03T11:15:25.194Z. Both times describe this saved record, not live trading now.
Every included Over/Under contract shows Over at 0.505 and Under at 0.495. Every included spread contract shows 0.5 for each side. Because the same values appear across all sampled lines, the snapshot does not show how prices differ between thresholds. These are displayed snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The record does not include volume or trader counts, so it says nothing about liquidity or how many participants hold each view.
The two "Spread" contracts for Lafayette (-1.5) and Colgate (-1.5) are separate contracts with reversed outcome order. Treat them as separate contracts rather than as one market.
The sample is partial. The provider event has 20 markets, and 12 are included [1]. The selection rule ranks markets by finite Yes price, then volume, and the record says the counts "describe the saved provider event, not the whole real-world field." Do not infer the prices of the 8 omitted markets from the included ones.
What remains uncertain
The record does not explain why prices sit at these levels, and it contains no news, injury reports, or forecasting track record. It also does not show the winner contract's price, so this snapshot cannot be used to compare win probabilities. Different wording in the Over/Under, spread, and winner rules means their prices should not be averaged or compared as if they measured the same outcome. A price gap between contracts is also not an arbitrage opportunity without verified executable quotes, matching rules, and fee information, none of which appear in the evidence.
References
- Polymarket: Lafayette vs. Colgate. Provider data observed 2026-11-03T09:00:06.018Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 3, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This PredictPedia market concerns a college football game between Lafayette and Colgate. The contract's rules state that the game was originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, and the listed end time for the event is 2026-11-14T18:00:00.000Z [1]. The main contract resolves to "Lafayette" if Lafayette wins the game and to "Colgate" if Colgate wins. Overtime is included if it is played [1]. If the game ends in a tie, the market resolves 50-50 [1]. The rules also cover cancellation and missing results. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, the market resolves 50-50 [1]. If the listed resolution sources had already definitively determined the outcome before an abandonment, that outcome stands [1]. The contract's listed end time and its scheduled date are reference points from the rules, not confirmation that the game will be played on that date. The event page also lists several related markets. These include total-points markets with Over and Under outcomes at lines from 49.5 to 61.5, and point-spread markets for Lafayette and Colgate at several lines [1]. The saved snapshot shows the Over outcome at 0.505 and the Under outcome at 0.495 for each total line shown, and an even 0.5 price for both teams on each spread line shown [1]. These are observed prices from the snapshot, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. For background on Colgate, a Wikipedia article describes the 2025 Colgate Raiders football team as a member of the Patriot League during the 2025 NCAA Division I FCS football season, playing at Crown Field at Andy Kerr Stadium in Hamilton, New York [2]. That article covers a past season and does not describe the 2026 game or Lafayette's roster.
Historical Context
A Wikipedia article on the 2025 Colgate Raiders football team says the team represented Colgate University in the Patriot League during the 2025 NCAA Division I FCS football season, under first-year head coach Curt Fitzpatrick [2]. The supplied sources do not provide a history of the Lafayette and Colgate rivalry or earlier meetings between the two teams.
Why It Matters
The contract measures which team wins the scheduled game between Lafayette and Colgate. Its rules state that a win by Lafayette resolves the Lafayette outcome and a win by Colgate resolves the Colgate outcome, with overtime counted if played [1]. A tie resolves 50-50, and cancellation or abandonment without an official result by the stated deadline also resolves 50-50 [1]. The rules are therefore the reference for how the contract settles, and a price snapshot shows only what the market showed at one observation time.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-03 at 09:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
Does overtime count toward the result?
Yes. The contract states that overtime is included if it is played [1].
What happens if the game ends in a tie?
The market resolves 50-50 [1].
What happens if the game is canceled or not played by the deadline?
If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, the market resolves 50-50 [1]. If the listed resolution sources had already definitively determined an outcome before abandonment, that outcome stands [1].
Do the total-points and spread markets follow the same rules?
The supplied excerpt describes the win-based rules for the main Lafayette and Colgate contract, including tie and no-result provisions [1]. It does not provide the resolution rules for the over/under or spread lines, so those rules cannot be described from the supplied evidence.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
