Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 31, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
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Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 31, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Saved contracts
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 1, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-31T18:00:05.888Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Polymarket contract titled "Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 31, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET" [1]. According to the saved rules, it "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The resolution source is the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules state that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
The listed end time is 2026-11-01T00:50:00Z, which corresponds to 8:50 PM ET on October 31 [1]. The contract's listed close is therefore the end of the window named in its title. Because a different platform could use different rules, wording, or resolution sources, this contract should not be compared directly with differently worded contracts on other venues without checking their rules.
Reading the snapshot
The saved snapshot shows two outcomes: "Up" at 0.505 and "Down" at 0.495 [1]. The provider observation time is 2026-10-31T18:00:05Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-31T19:39:41Z [1]. These are different timestamps. The prices describe the saved observation, not live trading at the time you read this.
The prices are snapshot values, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The sample covers one market from one platform, with no partial sampling indicated [1]. Because this is the only saved market for the event, there are no other outcomes to compare against. The volume field in the source data does not measure liquidity or the number of traders, and this summary does not use it.
What remains uncertain
The saved evidence does not explain why the prices were at these levels, and this summary does not infer a cause. The evidence also does not show the price at the start of the window, the TWAP during the window, or any settlement result. The observation time falls well before the window opens, so the snapshot cannot indicate the price during the window. Readers should check the provider's current page and the Chainlink data stream directly before relying on any figure here.
References
- Polymarket: Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 31, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-31T18:00:05.888Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 31, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-window price contract on Polymarket titled "Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 31, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET" [1]. The contract is about the HYPE/USD price of Hyperliquid over a five-minute window ending at 8:50 PM Eastern Time on October 31, 2026. The saved provider record lists two outcomes, Up and Down, and gives a listed end time of 2026-11-01T00:50:00 UTC [1]. The contract's outcome is determined by a time-weighted average price (TWAP) rather than a single trade. According to the provider's rules, the market resolves to Up if the TWAP for the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. If it is not, the market resolves to Down [1]. Because the comparison uses an average over the window against the starting price, the final outcome depends on how the price behaves across the whole range, not only on where it ends. The rules name Chainlink as the resolution source and point to its HYPE/USD TWAP data stream with a sixty-second interval [1]. The provider also states that only this Chainlink data stream counts, not other sources or spot markets [1]. Traders reading the contract should therefore focus on that specific feed rather than on prices quoted on exchanges. The provider record for this event shows the status as active in the saved snapshot [1]. That snapshot describes the provider's listing at the time it was observed and does not confirm the market's status at any later time. The contract's listed end time is a closing point for trading and resolution rules, not evidence that any particular result has occurred.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the Hyperliquid token's HYPE/USD price, as recorded in a Chainlink TWAP data stream, finishes its five-minute window at or above the level at the window's start [1]. It is a narrow, rules-based question: the title sets the time range, the rules set the price feed and averaging method, and the outcome follows directly from that comparison [1]. Because the window is short and the feed is specified, the contract is a useful example of how a prediction market can be tied to a precise data definition rather than a general belief about an asset's direction.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-31 at 18:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What price feed decides this contract?
The rules specify the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, available through Chainlink's data site, and state that other sources or spot markets are not used [1].
What does Up mean in this market?
The market resolves to Up if the TWAP over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range [1].
What happens if the result is Down?
If the TWAP is not greater than or equal to the starting price, the market resolves to Down [1].
When does the contract end?
The listed end time in the provider record is 2026-11-01T00:50:00 UTC, which corresponds to 8:50 PM Eastern Time on October 31 as written in the title [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.