W15 Sharm ElSheikh: Miroslava Medvedeva vs Anastasia Zhilina
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W15 Sharm ElSheikh: Miroslava Medvedeva vs Anastasia Zhilina
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market refers to the tennis match between Miroslava Medvedeva and Anastasia Zhilina in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Miroslava Medvedeva' if Miroslava Medvedeva advances against Anastasia Zhilina. This market will resolve to 'Anastasia Zhilina' if Anastasia Zhilina advances against Miroslava Medvedeva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-26T18:00:06.173Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This snapshot covers three Polymarket markets tied to one provider event: the W15 Sharm ElSheikh qualifying match between Miroslava Medvedeva and Anastasia Zhilina, "originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 2:30AM ET" [1]. The main market resolves to whichever player advances. The two set handicap markets use different framings, so they are not interchangeable with the match winner contract.
The rules cover several edge cases. The market "will resolve to 50-50" if the match is canceled, ends in a tie, has no determined winner by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or ends in a walkover [1]. If a player advances because the opponent retires, defaults, or is disqualified, the market resolves to the player who advances [1]. The primary resolution source is "official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF)," and "a consensus of credible reporting may also be used" [1]. The listed end time is 2026-11-03T06:30:00.000Z [1].
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is 2026-10-26T18:00:06.173Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-26T20:51:40.104Z [1]. This is a saved record from roughly three hours before the retrieval time, so it should not be read as a live price.
For the match winner market, Medvedeva is priced at 0.515 and Zhilina at 0.485 [1]. In the first set handicap market, "Miroslava Medvedeva (-1.5)" is priced at 0.495 and "Anastasia Zhilina (+1.5)" at 0.505 [1]. In the second, "Anastasia Zhilina (-1.5)" is priced at 0.495 and "Miroslava Medvedeva (+1.5)" at 0.505 [1]. Each market's prices are internally tied to its own outcomes. Comparing the handicap contracts with the winner market, or with each other, would mix different outcomes, so these figures should not be averaged or ranked together.
These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The record does not report volume or trader counts, so it says nothing about liquidity.
What remains uncertain
The coverage record lists three of three markets for this event, with no partial sample flagged [1]. The sample warning, however, states that including all saved markets "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. The data therefore covers this event's saved markets only.
The evidence does not explain why prices sit near even, and it does not show whether the match has been played. Readers should check the ITF information named in the rules and the current market page before relying on any price.
References
- Polymarket: W15 Sharm ElSheikh: Miroslava Medvedeva vs Anastasia Zhilina. Provider data observed 2026-10-26T18:00:06.173Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 26, 2026 UTCOverview
This contract concerns a tennis match between Miroslava Medvedeva and Anastasia Zhilina in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh qualifying draw. The match was originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 2:30 AM ET [1]. The Polymarket event contains three markets tied to this one match: a winner market and two set handicap markets, one listing Medvedeva at -1.5 and Zhilina at +1.5, and the reverse [1]. The winner market resolves to whichever player advances against the other [1]. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances because the opponent retires, defaults, or is disqualified, the market resolves to the player who advances [1]. If the match is canceled, not played at all, ends in a tie, or has no determined winner by November 10, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, which the rules describe as 14 days after the scheduled start, the market resolves 50-50 [1]. A walkover, where a player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically, also resolves 50-50 [1]. The rules name official information from the International Tennis Federation as the primary resolution source, and state that a consensus of credible reporting may also be used [1]. The provider lists an end time of November 3, 2026 at 06:30 UTC [1]. The November 10 date is a deadline stated in the contract rules, not an announced date for any event. At the provider observation time of October 26, 2026 at 18:00 UTC, all three markets were listed as active [1]. In the winner market, the snapshot showed Medvedeva at 0.515 and Zhilina at 0.485 [1]. These figures are price snapshots from that moment. They are not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and they do not show the current state of the market.
Why It Matters
The contract measures which player advances in this specific match, as defined by the winner market rules [1]. It also includes a 50-50 outcome for cancellation, a tie, a walkover, or no determined winner by the stated deadline [1]. The set handicap markets are titled with a -1.5 or +1.5 set line for each player [1], but the supplied rules do not spell out how those markets settle beyond their titles, so readers should check the full contract text before relying on them.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-26 at 18:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
Who decides how the contract resolves?
The rules name official information from the International Tennis Federation as the primary resolution source, and allow a consensus of credible reporting to be used [1].
What happens if one player retires after the match starts?
If the match begins but is not completed and one player advances because the opponent retires, defaults, or is disqualified, the market resolves to the player who advances [1].
What happens if the match is not played?
If the match is canceled, not played at all, or ends in a tie, or if no winner is determined by November 10, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves 50-50 [1]. A walkover also resolves 50-50 [1].
Do the listed prices show how likely each player is to win?
No. The listed prices are snapshots taken at a specific observation time and are not executable quotes or verified probabilities [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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