Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
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Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Oct 26, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-26T00:00:05.974Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This contract covers the HYPE/USD price on Hyperliquid for the window stated in its title, 6:10PM to 6:15PM ET. It resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) generated by Chainlink over that window is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of the range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is the Chainlink HYPE/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules state that the market is "about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A contract on another venue, or one that uses a spot price or a different averaging method, may settle on different terms even when the asset name is similar.
The listed end time is 2026-10-26T22:15:00.000Z [1]. That is the close recorded by the provider, not an announced resolution result. The title uses Eastern Time, while the listed end time is in UTC, so readers should check both when comparing contracts.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed this market at 2026-10-26T00:00:05.974Z, and the evidence was retrieved at 2026-10-26T00:50:41.221Z [1]. The prices below describe that observation only. They are not live quotes.
At observation, the saved outcomes were Up at 0.505 and Down at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot prices. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The gap between them is small, and this single snapshot does not show how the price has changed or will change.
The coverage record lists one market for this event, with one included and no partial sample [1]. The provider status was "active" at observation [1]. The saved data does not include volume or the number of traders, so it says nothing about liquidity or how many participants hold each side.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show the price after the observation time, whether the market is still open, or how the window will resolve. It also does not explain any price movement. Because this is one contract with two outcomes, no comparison with other providers or events is supported here.
References
- Polymarket: Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-26T00:00:05.974Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 26, 2026 UTCOverview
This contract is a short-window price direction market on Hyperliquid, based on the HYPE/USD asset pair. Its title, "Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET", names a five-minute window, and the contract asks whether the price during that window ends up or down [1]. The rules say the market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) across the window is greater than or equal to the price at the start of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The measurement is specific. The rules name the resolution source as information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream with a 60-second TWAP [1]. The contract states that it concerns the price according to that Chainlink data stream and not according to other sources or spot markets [1]. A trader reading this contract therefore needs to focus on the data stream named in the rules, not on whatever price appears on a different exchange or website. The contract has a listed end time of 2026-10-26T22:15:00.000Z [1]. That date is taken from the contract rules and is not an announcement of any event. The observation time recorded for this snapshot is 2026-10-26T00:00:05.974Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-26T00:50:41.224Z [1]. Those times describe when the record was captured. They do not show what the market is doing now or how the contract settled.
Why It Matters
The contract measures the direction of the HYPE/USD price over a single short window, as calculated by a time-weighted average from a named Chainlink data stream [1]. Because the outcome depends on a TWAP compared with the price at the start of the range, the result reflects the averaged price across the window rather than a single trade at the close. The rules state that the market concerns only that Chainlink data stream, so the named source determines the outcome regardless of prices elsewhere [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-26 at 00:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this contract resolves to Up or Down?
The market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, across the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1].
Which data source is used for resolution?
The resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream with a 60-second TWAP. The rules state that other sources or spot markets are not used [1].
What time window does the contract cover?
The title specifies October 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET. The listed end time in the contract rules is 2026-10-26T22:15:00.000Z [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.