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Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Miami Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position

Name: Miami Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position
End: 2026-05-08T20:30:00.000Z

Total Volume

$851.19

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Miami Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position

Vol

$851.19

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $851.19

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $851.19

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

22 markets tracked

Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(22)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Poly	50%
Will Alexander Albon get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Poly	50%
Will Sergio Perez get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Poly	50%
Will Esteban Ocon get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Poly	50%
Will Valtteri Bottas get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Poly	50%
Will Oliver Bearman get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Poly	50%
Will Liam Lawson get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Poly	50%
Will Lance Stroll get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Poly	50%
Will Gabriel Bortoleto get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Poly	50%
Will Franco Colapinto get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Poly	50%
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Poly	50%
Will Pierre Gasly get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Poly	50%
Will Nico Hulkenberg get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Poly	50%
Will Arvid Lindblad get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Poly	50%
Will Isack Hadjar get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Poly	50%
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Poly	50%
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Poly	50%
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Poly	50%
Will Fernando Alonso get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Poly	49%
Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Poly	48%
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Poly	38%
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Poly	12%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

50%

Top Probability

$851.19

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix, scheduled for May 1, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 8, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Miami Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 8, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix, scheduled for May 1, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 8, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix, scheduled for May 1, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 8, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $851
* **Total Liquidity:** $380
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 2.24)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Pierre Gasly get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 8, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 49.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.2% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Fernando Alonso get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 8, 2026): Vol $10
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Alexander Albon get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 8, 2026): Vol $10
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Gabriel Bortoleto get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 8, 2026): Vol $10
  DATA: [Yes: 49.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.1% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Sergio Perez get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 8, 2026): Vol $10
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 8, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Esteban Ocon get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 8, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 8, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 8, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 8, 2026): Vol $12
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Franco Colapinto get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 8, 2026): Vol $10
  DATA: [Yes: 49.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.1% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Carlos Sainz Jr. get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 8, 2026): Vol $10
  DATA: [Yes: 49.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.2% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Nico Hulkenberg get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 8, 2026): Vol $10
  DATA: [Yes: 49.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.2% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Valtteri Bottas get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 8, 2026): Vol $10
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 8, 2026): Vol $405
  DATA: [Yes: 12.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.6% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Oliver Bearman get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 8, 2026): Vol $10
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 8, 2026): Vol $195
  DATA: [Yes: 48.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 8, 2026): Vol $85
  DATA: [Yes: 38.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Arvid Lindblad get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 8, 2026): Vol $10
  DATA: [Yes: 49.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.2% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Isack Hadjar get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 8, 2026): Vol $10
  DATA: [Yes: 49.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.2% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Liam Lawson get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 8, 2026): Vol $14
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Lance Stroll get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 8, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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