Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 30, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
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Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 30, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-30T21:00:05.889Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single market from Polymarket, titled "Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 30, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET" [1]. The rules say it "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1].
The resolution source is the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, and the rules state that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A reader comparing this with a contract on another platform or another asset should check the resolution source first, since a similar title can rest on different data.
The listed end time is 2026-10-31T03:55:00.000Z [1]. The title uses Eastern Time wording, so the two time formats refer to the same window only if the reader converts them carefully.
Reading the snapshot
The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-10-30T21:00:05.889Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-31T01:48:41.788Z [1]. These are different moments. The observation time describes the provider data, and the retrieval time describes when this record was collected. Neither is a live reading.
At observation, the saved prices were Up 0.505 and Down 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The record does not include order book depth, traded volume, or the number of traders, so it says nothing about liquidity.
The coverage record shows one market in one event, with no partial sample [1]. The sample therefore contains the full set of saved markets for this event. The record also states that this does not establish that the provider lists every possible real-world outcome. Because this is a binary Up or Down contract, the two prices are the only outcomes in the saved record.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show the status of the market after the snapshot. The provider status was active when observed [1], but the record does not confirm whether it is active now. No resolution outcome appears in the supplied material.
The evidence also does not explain why the prices stand where they do. It includes no reporting on market conditions and no information on what drove the HYPE/USD price during the window.
References
- Polymarket: Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 30, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-30T21:00:05.889Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 31, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a short-duration crypto price contract on Polymarket, titled "Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 30, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET" [1]. It asks whether the price of Hyperliquid, measured as HYPE/USD, will finish a five-minute window higher or lower than it started. The contract resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) over the stated time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range, and to "Down" otherwise [1]. The resolution source is Chainlink, specifically its HYPE/USD TWAP data stream with a 60-second TWAP interval [1]. The provider states that the market concerns the price according to that Chainlink data stream, and not any other sources or spot markets [1]. Traders therefore need to read the contract's specified data feed rather than a general price quoted on an exchange. The source records a listed end time of 2026-10-31T03:55:00.000Z [1]. That is the contract's closing time, not an announced event. The saved provider record was observed at 2026-10-30T21:00:05.889Z and retrieved at 2026-10-31T01:48:41.816Z [1]. The provider status recorded at retrieval was active [1]. Those are historical details of the saved record and do not establish the contract's status at any later time. The Up and Down outcomes in the saved sample were priced close to even at observation, but a snapshot is not an executable quote or a verified probability, so it should not be read as a forecast of the price move.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether a short-window TWAP of HYPE/USD, as published by Chainlink, ends at or above the price at the start of the window [1]. Because the comparison uses averaged prices rather than a single closing tick, the outcome depends on the path of the price across the full five minutes as recorded by that data stream [1]. The contract is also narrow in scope: it does not settle on other HYPE price feeds or spot venues [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-30 at 21:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What makes this contract resolve to Up?
It resolves to Up if the Chainlink HYPE/USD TWAP over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range [1].
Which price source decides the outcome?
The resolution source is the Chainlink HYPE/USD TWAP data stream with a 60-second TWAP, and the provider says other sources or spot markets are not used [1].
Does the price shown in a snapshot tell me the current odds?
No. The sample reflects a saved observation at a past time, and the provider's rules describe it only as a market price, so it is not an executable quote or a verified probability [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.