W35 Kunshan: Tiana Tian Deng vs Yu Shan
PM $0
1
3
W35 Kunshan: Tiana Tian Deng vs Yu Shan
PM $0
1
3
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $0
Reported volume · provider units
3
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market refers to the tennis match between Tiana Tian Deng and Yu Shan in the W35 Kunshan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tiana Tian Deng' if Tiana Tian Deng advances against Yu Shan. This market will resolve to 'Yu Shan' if Yu Shan advances against Tiana Tian Deng. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-24T21:00:06.013Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The supplied Polymarket event covers a tennis match, W35 Kunshan: Tiana Tian Deng vs Yu Shan, listed in the Qualifying round. The main market resolves to whichever player advances, and the rules say the match was "originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 11:00PM ET" [1]. That scheduled time is a rule description, not confirmation of when the match was actually played.
The rules also set fallback outcomes. If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or has no determined winner "by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET," the market resolves 50-50. A walkover also resolves 50-50, while a retirement, default, or disqualification after the match begins resolves to the player who advances [1]. The primary resolution source is the International Tennis Federation, with "a consensus of credible reporting" as a possible supplement [1].
The provider's listed end time is "2026-11-01T03:00:00.000Z" [1]. That is earlier than the November 7 deadline in the rules, so the listed end time and the rule deadline should not be read as the same date.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation was taken at 2026-10-24T21:00:06Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-24T22:56:36Z [1]. These are two different times, and both describe a past snapshot, not live trading.
Three saved markets are included, and the sample is complete for this event: 3 of 3 markets, with no partial sample flag [1]. The saved prices are:
- Winner market: Tiana Tian Deng 0.5, Yu Shan 0.5 [1].
- Set handicap (Tiana Tian Deng -1.5): Tiana Tian Deng 0.495, Yu Shan 0.505 [1].
- Set handicap (Yu Shan -1.5): Yu Shan 0.495, Tiana Tian Deng 0.505 [1].
These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The handicap markets use different wording, so their prices should be read separately from the winner market. Their near-equal prices describe only this saved moment. They do not show a trader count, a reason for the prices, or any information about the match after the snapshot.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show whether the match has started, finished, been delayed, or been withdrawn. It contains no recent reporting and no information about the match result. The volume figures are not included here, so this summary says nothing about liquidity or how many people traded.
The sample covers only the saved markets for this one provider event. The provider notes that its listing "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. Prices from other platforms or other contract wording should not be combined with these figures, and differing prices across contracts do not by themselves show an opportunity.
References
- Polymarket: W35 Kunshan: Tiana Tian Deng vs Yu Shan. Provider data observed 2026-10-24T21:00:06.013Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 24, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a Polymarket contract on a women's tennis match in the W35 Kunshan event, listed in the Sports category. The provider's event text describes the match as a qualifying match, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 11:00 PM ET, between Tiana Tian Deng and Yu Shan [1]. The contract is a two-outcome market: it resolves to the player who advances from the match [1]. The saved event includes three markets. The main market asks which player advances. Two set handicap markets are titled Tiana Tian Deng (-1.5) against Yu Shan (+1.5), and Yu Shan (-1.5) against Tiana Tian Deng (+1.5). The source text for this event describes only the main advancement rule, so the handicap settlement terms are not explained in the supplied rules and should be checked on the provider's page before any reliance on them. The contract's rules set out several outcomes beyond a simple win. If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or has no determined winner by November 7, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves 50-50 [1]. That November 7 date is a deadline stated in the contract rules, not an announced match date. If the match starts but is not completed, and a player advances because the opponent retires, defaults, or is disqualified, the market resolves to the player who advances [1]. If a player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically in a walkover, the market resolves 50-50 [1]. The provider names official information from the International Tennis Federation as the primary resolution source. Credible reporting may be used as a consensus source [1]. The listed end time for the event is 2026-11-01T03:00:00.000Z, and the provider status recorded for the event is active [1].
Why It Matters
The contract measures which of two named players advances from a scheduled tennis match, as defined by the provider's rules [1]. Because the rules define walkovers, cancellations, ties, and early endings separately, the outcome depends on how the match is completed, not only on which player wins the most sets. The rules also name the International Tennis Federation as the primary source for the result, which means official tournament information determines settlement under the stated terms [1]. Anyone reading the contract should compare the stated resolution rules with the event's listed end time and the separate set handicap markets, since those markets' settlement terms are not described in the supplied rules [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-24 at 21:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What decides whether the main market resolves to a player?
The market resolves to the player who advances from the match against the other player [1].
When does the market resolve 50-50?
It resolves 50-50 if the match is canceled, ends in a tie, has no determined winner by November 7, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, or ends in a walkover where one player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically [1].
What happens if a player retires or is disqualified after the match begins?
If the match begins but is not completed and one player advances because the opponent retires, defaults, or is disqualified, the market resolves to the player who advances [1].
Which source is used to determine the result?
The primary resolution source is official information from the International Tennis Federation, and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
W35 Kunshan: Tiana Tian Deng vs Yanan Hou
PM $0W35 Kunshan: Yu Jun Lin vs WENFEI YU
PM $0W35 Kunshan: WENFEI YU vs Yuyao Li
PM $0W35 Kunshan: Yu Jun Lin vs Marika Jones
PM $0
Deng vs Hou
K 0 contractsW35 Sydney: YU-CHING WANG vs Christina Dodaj
PM $0Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.