Independiente Santa Fe vs. Jaguares de Córdoba FC - First Team to Score
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Independiente Santa Fe vs. Jaguares de Córdoba FC - First Team to Score
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Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Independiente Santa Fe at 49.5%.
Polymarket
- Independiente Santa Fe49.5%
- Jaguares de Córdoba FC49.5%
- Neither18.5%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
3
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
About This Event
In the upcoming match between Independiente Santa Fe and Jaguares de Córdoba FC, scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 9:05 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Independiente Santa Fe" if Independiente Santa Fe are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Jaguares de Córdoba FC" if Jaguares de Córdoba FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-19T06:00:06.076Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This snapshot covers three Polymarket markets from one provider event, "Independiente Santa Fe vs. Jaguares de Córdoba FC - First Team to Score" [1]. The markets ask whether Independiente Santa Fe will score first, whether Jaguares de Córdoba FC will score first, or whether neither team will score first [1]. The rules limit the outcome to "the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time" and exclude extra time and penalty shoot-outs [1]. A postponed game keeps the market open until completion, while a game canceled with no make-up game resolves to "Neither" [1].
If official statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event, the rules allow that "a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead" [1]. All three markets list an end time of 2026-10-22T01:20:00.000Z [1]. The rules also mention a scheduled date of August 25, 2026 at 9:05 PM ET [1]. This is rule text, not a confirmed event date, and it does not match the October 19, 2026 snapshot. Readers should check the match schedule with the official source.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed the markets at 2026-10-19T06:00:06.076Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-19T08:09:56.614Z [1]. Each market shows Yes at 0.495 and No at 0.505 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
The three Yes prices are identical, but they belong to separate contracts with different wording. They should not be added together or averaged into a single figure. Within each market, the Yes and No prices sum to 1.000, which describes that market alone. Equal or different prices across these contracts do not, by themselves, indicate an opportunity.
The sample includes all three saved markets for this event, and partialSample is false [1]. The sampleWarning states that "This does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. Readers should not treat these three markets as the full set of possible outcomes.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the prices are at these levels. It also does not report trading volume, trader counts, or any price changes after the observation time. The excerpt contains no official match result, postponement notice, or confirmation of the scheduled date.
References
- Polymarket: Independiente Santa Fe vs. Jaguares de Córdoba FC - First Team to Score. Provider data observed 2026-10-19T06:00:06.076Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 19, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a Polymarket event titled "Independiente Santa Fe vs. Jaguares de Córdoba FC - First Team to Score". The event belongs to the Sports category and asks which side, if either, scores first in a single match. The contract rules describe the match as scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 9:05 PM ET, but the listed end time for the event is October 22, 2026 at 01:20 UTC [1]. The rules text does not explain the difference between these dates, so readers should treat the August date as a stated scheduling reference in the contract text rather than confirmation of when the match was played. The event contains three binary markets. One resolves Yes if Independiente Santa Fe score first. A second resolves Yes if Jaguares de Córdoba FC score first. A third resolves Yes if neither team scores in the window [1]. Each market is a separate yes or no contract, so a Yes outcome on one does not automatically determine the others. The window is narrow. The rules count only the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded from the outcome [1]. A goal scored in extra time therefore does not change how a first-team-to-score market settles. The rules also address schedule disruptions. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the game is completed. If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves to Neither [1]. The rules further state that revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution are not counted [1]. For settlement, the primary source is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If those final statistics have not been published within 2 hours after the event ends, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead [1]. All markets settle on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers [1]. The price snapshot shows Yes at 0.495 and No at 0.505 for each of the three markets. These are snapshot values from the provider observation time, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. Volume is not a measure of liquidity or the number of traders, and differences between contracts should not be read as an opportunity without further analysis.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a narrow football outcome: which team, if either, scores first in the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time between Independiente Santa Fe and Jaguares de Córdoba FC [1]. Because the rules exclude extra time and shoot-outs and define a Neither outcome for a goalless window or cancellation, the wording determines settlement. Anyone reading the prices should check these definitions in the rules rather than assume the market tracks the full match result or any single team's overall chances [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-19 at 06:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What counts as scoring first in this market?
The market looks only at the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded, so a goal in those periods does not decide the first-team-to-score outcome [1].
What happens if the match is postponed?
If the game is postponed, the market remains open until the game has been completed [1].
What happens if the match is canceled?
If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves to Neither [1].
Which source decides the outcome?
The primary resolution source is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If final statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Same-question pairs
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