NCAA Football: Auburn 2026 Win Total
PM $6.8K
1
5
NCAA Football: Auburn 2026 Win Total
PM $6.8K
1
5
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is 4.5+ Wins at 94.3%.
Polymarket
- 4.5+ Wins94.3%
- 5.5+ Wins93%
- 6.5+ Wins73.5%
- 7.5+ Wins31%
- 8.5+ Wins8.1%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $6.8K
Reported volume · provider units
5
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team's regular season win total exceeds the listed number. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Only official regular-season games count. Conference championship games, bowl games, and College Football Playoff games do not count even if the NCAA recognizes them as such. Only played games resulting in a win will count toward this total. If the listed team plays fewer games than scheduled due to cancellation, weather, forfeit, or any other reason, only actual wins recorded count toward the total; canceled or unplayed games do not count as wins. If the 2026 NCAA Division 1 Football regular season is cancelled, postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many wins the listed team recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official NCAA and conference records (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-17T06:00:06.025Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This snapshot covers five Polymarket contracts under the event "NCAA Football: Auburn 2026 Win Total." Each contract asks whether Auburn will have more than a listed number of regular-season wins in the 2026 season, at thresholds of 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5, and 8.5. The rules count only official regular-season games [1]. Conference championship games, bowl games, and College Football Playoff games do not count [1]. Only wins from played games count, and canceled or unplayed games do not count as wins [1].
The rules also set a cancellation condition. If the 2026 regular season is cancelled, is postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or cannot be determined, the market resolves to "No" [1]. The provider lists an end time of 2026-12-27T04:59:00.000Z [1]. Readers should note that the listed end time and the rule's cutoff are separate pieces of text, and the rules are the source for how cancellation or postponement is handled.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed these prices at 2026-10-17T06:00:06Z, and the record was retrieved at 2026-10-17T07:24:54Z [1]. These are snapshot values from that observation time, not current or executable quotes. The Yes prices were 0.925 for more than 4.5 wins, 0.625 for more than 5.5, 0.325 for more than 6.5, 0.11 for more than 7.5, and 0.033 for more than 8.5 [1]. The No prices were 0.075, 0.375, 0.675, 0.89, and 0.967 respectively [1]. The prices fall as the threshold rises, which is what the contract structure would lead a reader to expect, since each higher threshold requires more wins.
All five markets from this single Polymarket event are included in the record, and the sample is not marked as partial [1]. The record does not show volume, so no statement about liquidity or number of traders is supported. Because all contracts come from one provider, no cross-platform comparison is possible.
What remains uncertain
The record does not explain why prices are where they are, and it does not show any news or other events behind them. It also does not establish that the provider lists every possible outcome for this season. Prices are not verified probabilities. Because these are separate threshold contracts, they should not be averaged or combined into a single expected-win figure without further analysis.
References
- Polymarket: NCAA Football: Auburn 2026 Win Total. Provider data observed 2026-10-17T06:00:06.025Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 17, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This PredictPedia entry covers a Polymarket event titled "NCAA Football: Auburn 2026 Win Total." The event is a set of yes-or-no contracts on how many regular-season wins Auburn's football team will record in the 2026 college football season. Each contract asks whether Auburn will have more than a stated number of wins. The event contains five thresholds, at 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5, and 8.5 wins [1]. The contract's rules define what counts. Only official regular-season games count. Conference championship games, bowl games, and College Football Playoff games do not count, even if the NCAA recognizes them as such [1]. Only games that were played and won add to the total. If a game is cancelled, postponed, forfeited, or otherwise not played, it adds nothing [1]. The rules also set a resolution path. The primary source is official NCAA and conference records, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used [1]. The contract states that if the 2026 regular season is cancelled, or is postponed past a stated deadline, or if the number of wins cannot be determined within the relevant period, the market resolves to No [1]. That deadline is a rule of the contract. It is not an announced date for any game or event. The contract's listed end time is December 27, 2026, at 04:59 UTC [1]. The provider's rules define the window for counting wins. Because the contract resolves on recorded wins, the timing of the official season matters. The season's dates are described in a general Wikipedia article retrieved on the same day as this entry, which states that the 2026 regular season is scheduled to end on December 12, with the postseason beginning December 15 [2]. That article describes the schedule as it stood when it was retrieved. It does not confirm Auburn's individual results or the final status of any game.
Historical Context
The 2026 season is the 157th season of college football in the United States and the 121st season organized by the NCAA. It is also the 51st season of the Football Bowl Subdivision, the highest level of competition [2]. The source notes that this will be the third season of the 12-team College Football Playoff system [2]. The supplied sources do not include Auburn's historical win totals or past seasons, so this entry does not describe the team's record over time.
Why It Matters
The contract measures how many regular-season wins Auburn records in 2026, counted only from official regular-season games that are actually played and won [1]. Each threshold is a separate yes-or-no question. A market asking about more than 4.5 wins, for example, resolves Yes only if Auburn finishes with at least five counted wins under the rules [1]. The thresholds form a ladder, so the contracts are related but each one is resolved on its own threshold [1]. The snapshot available here shows the contracts as active when observed on October 17, 2026 at 06:00 UTC [1]. Prices in that snapshot reflect what the provider reported at that observation time. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities of any outcome. The contracts close on the stated end date, and final resolution depends on the official win count and the rules above.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-17 at 06:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
Which games count toward the win total?
Only official regular-season games count. Conference championship games, bowl games, and College Football Playoff games do not count, even if the NCAA recognizes them as such [1].
What happens if a scheduled game is cancelled or not played?
Only actual wins recorded count toward the total. Cancelled or unplayed games do not count as wins, whether the cause is cancellation, weather, forfeit, or another reason [1].
What source is used to resolve the contract?
The primary resolution source is official NCAA and conference records. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used [1].
When does the contract resolve to No regardless of wins?
Under the contract rules, the market resolves to No if the 2026 regular season is cancelled, if it is postponed after the deadline set in the rules, or if the number of wins cannot be determined within the relevant timeframe [1]. The rules set this deadline, and it is not an announced event date.
When is the 2026 regular season scheduled to end?
A general Wikipedia article retrieved on the same day as this entry states that the regular season is scheduled to end on December 12, with the postseason beginning December 15 [2]. This describes the schedule as the article reported it when retrieved.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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