Hong Kong Sixes: Pakistan vs United Arab Emirates - Toss Match Double
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Hong Kong Sixes: Pakistan vs United Arab Emirates - Toss Match Double
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Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 28, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is PAK at 50%.
Polymarket
- PAK50%
- Draw50%
- UAE50%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $0
Reported volume · provider units
3
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between Pakistan and United Arab Emirates scheduled for October 29 2026 at 10:35 PM ET in Hong Kong Sixes. The outcome corresponding to Pakistan will be considered correct if Pakistan is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to United Arab Emirates will be considered correct if United Arab Emirates is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to "Draw". DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-28T09:00:05.951Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The Pakistan contract pays out if Pakistan is officially recorded as winning both the pre-match coin toss and the final match result [1]. The United Arab Emirates contract uses the same test for that team [1]. The Draw contract covers every other case, including when "the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded" [1]. The rules treat DLS/DRS adjustments, forfeits, and Super Over tiebreaks as ordinary wins, and they state that if the match is postponed, "the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed" [1]. The contract text refers to a match "scheduled for October 29 2026 at 10:35 PM ET" [1]. This describes the listed fixture, not a confirmed start time.
Reading the snapshot
The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-10-28T09:00:05.951Z and retrieved at 2026-10-28T10:21:14.509Z [1]. At the observation time, all three Polymarket contracts showed Yes at 0.5 and No at 0.5 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and they do not show current conditions after the retrieval time.
All three contracts list an end time of 2026-11-06T03:35:00.000Z [1]. This is a listed end time, not a confirmed resolution time. Resolution depends on the official record described in the rules [1].
The coverage record shows three of three markets from one provider event, with no partial sample [1]. Because the three contracts describe different outcomes, their equal prices should not be averaged or read as a single probability distribution. Equal prices here also do not show that the outcomes are equally likely.
What remains uncertain
The supplied evidence contains no information about the toss, team selection, match conditions, or any news, so it cannot explain the prices or any movement in them. The sample warning states that the listing "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. The evidence covers only Polymarket, so it offers no cross-platform comparison.
References
- Polymarket: Hong Kong Sixes: Pakistan vs United Arab Emirates - Toss Match Double. Provider data observed 2026-10-28T09:00:05.951Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 28, 2026 UTCAI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.