Katarzyna Kawa vs Katie Volynets: Set 2 Winner
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Katarzyna Kawa vs Katie Volynets: Set 2 Winner
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 0 contracts
Reported volume · provider units
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Saved contracts
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 17, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
About This Event
Katarzyna Kawa vs Katie Volynets Set 2 (Oct 16) If X wins set 2 in the Katarzyna Kawa vs Katie Volynets professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Ningbo Qualification Round 1, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Katarzyna Kawa vs Katie Volynets professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Ningbo Qualification Round 1. If the match does not occur, signaled by a ball being played, due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation, all before the match starts, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished, within two weeks. If a retirement occurs, all markets that can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed will resolve accordingly. Any markets that cannot be unconditionally settled will resolve to Fair Market Price, as determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after the event occurs.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T21:00:06.041Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The supplied event covers the set 2 result in a professional tennis match between Katarzyna Kawa and Katie Volynets, in the 2026 WTA Ningbo Qualification Round 1 [1]. Two contracts are included. One asks whether Katie Volynets wins set 2, and the other asks whether Katarzyna Kawa wins set 2 [1]. Each contract resolves to Yes if the named player wins that set [1].
The rules also cover cases where the match does not produce a set result. If the match is cancelled before play begins, the market resolves to a fair price under the rules [1]. If it is postponed or delayed, the market stays open and closes after the rescheduled match finishes, within two weeks [1]. If a retirement occurs, markets that can be settled from completed play resolve accordingly, and others resolve to Fair Market Price at the Exchange's discretion [1]. The rules state that the market "will close and expire after the event occurs" [1].
The listed end date for both contracts is 2026-10-31T02:00:00.000Z. The source excerpt itself says "Listed end time: not supplied," so this date is a platform field and not a scheduled match time. It should not be read as the expected time of play.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed these prices at 2026-10-16T21:00:06.041Z, and the evidence was retrieved at 2026-10-17T02:23:33.306Z [1]. These are historical snapshots, not live quotes, and they may not reflect the current market.
At observation time, the Volynets set 2 contract showed Yes at 0.855 and No at 0.145 [1]. The Kawa set 2 contract showed Yes at 0.14 and No at 0.86 [1]. Each pair sums to roughly 1.00, which is consistent with a two-outcome binary structure. The two Yes prices describe different contracts about the same set, so they should be read separately. Their difference is not an arbitrage signal, since the snapshot does not show executable depth or fees.
The market sample includes both saved markets for this event, and the sample is not marked as partial [1]. This describes only the two contracts in the saved event. It does not establish that every possible outcome in the match was captured.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show the match status at any point after observation, the set score, whether play has started, or whether the match has been postponed or retirements have occurred. It also does not show trading volume, liquidity, or the number of participants.
The prices reflect only the observed snapshot and do not explain why they were set at those levels. Readers should check the current market and the rules before relying on any figure.
References
- Kalshi: Katarzyna Kawa vs Katie Volynets: Set 2 Winner. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T21:00:06.041Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 17, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia contract is a set winner market for a professional tennis match between Katarzyna Kawa and Katie Volynets, listed as the Katarzyna Kawa vs Katie Volynets Set 2 match in the 2026 WTA Ningbo Qualification Round 1 [1]. The contract's stated rule is that if Volynets wins set 2, the market resolves to Yes [1]. A separate market asks whether Kawa will win set 2 [1]. The saved event lists two markets, and both are included in the sample [1]. The contract's rules cover several situations. If the match does not take place before it starts, because of an injury, walkover, forfeiture, or another cancellation, the market resolves to a fair price under the rules [1]. If the match is postponed or delayed, the market stays open and closes after the rescheduled match finishes, within two weeks [1]. If a player retires, markets that can be settled unconditionally on play already completed resolve on that basis, and any others resolve to Fair Market Price as determined at the Exchange's sole discretion [1]. The rules also state that the market closes and expires after the event occurs [1]. The market data lists an end date of 2026-10-31 at 02:00 UTC for both contracts [1]. That field is the listed contract date, not a confirmed time for the match or its resolution, and the event's listed end time was not supplied [1]. The saved price snapshot shows Volynets Yes at 0.855 and Kawa Yes at 0.14 [1]. These are observed prices from a past moment, not current quotes, and they are not verified probabilities of either player winning the set.
Historical Context
The sources provide only limited background. Volynets's career-high WTA singles ranking of No. 56 dates to July 29, 2024, and the Wikipedia entry reflects that historical achievement rather than her ranking on the contract date [2]. The supplied evidence does not describe the history of the WTA Ningbo tournament or the prior meetings between these players.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether a specific player wins the second set of one scheduled match in the 2026 WTA Ningbo Qualification Round 1 [1]. Its rules show how a set outcome is decided and how cancellations, delays, and retirements are handled, which affects how the market settles [1]. Because the saved prices are snapshots from a past observation, they show what the market displayed at that time, not what a trader could execute now [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-16 at 21:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does the Volynets contract pay out on?
The market resolves to Yes if Katie Volynets wins set 2 in the match against Katarzyna Kawa in the 2026 WTA Ningbo Qualification Round 1 [1].
What happens if the match is postponed?
If the match is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled match has finished, within two weeks [1].
What happens if a player retires?
Markets that can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed resolve accordingly. Any markets that cannot be unconditionally settled resolve to Fair Market Price, as determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange [1].
What happens if the match does not take place?
If the match does not occur before it starts, because of an injury, walkover, forfeiture, or other cancellation, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with the rules [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
