Market snapshot: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIPolitics

When will Trump golf this weekend? (10/16-10/18)

Reported volume

K 14.1K contracts

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Markets

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When will Trump golf this weekend? (10/16-10/18)

Vol

K 14.1K contracts

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Provider overview

polymarket

Reported lifetime volume

kalshi

14.1K contracts

Reported lifetime volume

Reviewed equivalent pairs

No eligible price comparison

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Price ChartContract price history

4 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will Trump not golf from Oct 16, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(4)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Trump not golf from Oct 16, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?	Kalshi	56.0%
Will Trump golf on Oct 18, 2026?	Kalshi	45.0%
Will Trump golf on Oct 17, 2026?	Kalshi	8.0%
Will Trump golf on Oct 16, 2026?	Kalshi	0.5%

Rules & Resolution

Saved matching review

Needs review: no direct pair assessment is available.

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AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 14.1K contracts

Reported volume · provider units

Saved contracts

Reviewed equivalent pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC

About This Event

10/16-10/18 If Donald Trump golfs on Oct X 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. “Golfing” means Donald Trump playing golf on a golf course, including any portion of a round. Merely being at a golf course or club, riding in a golf cart, attending a golf event, practicing, or taking a ceremonial shot does not count. The primary source is Trump Golf Track, trumpgolftrack.com. Any date it lists as “confirmed golf” will count. If Trump Golf Track is incomplete, Kalshi may also rely on White House pool reports and editorial photo agencies, including Getty Images, Reuters Connect, and AP Photos.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: When will Trump golf this weekend? (10/16-10/18)
Source snapshot: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): K 14.1K contracts
Coverage: 4 of 4 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Will Trump golf on Oct 18, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPGOLFD-26OCT16-SUN; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpgolfd-26oct16
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 20, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 431.7 contracts
Outcome Yes: 45.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 55.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Donald Trump golfs on Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: “Golfing” means Donald Trump playing golf on a golf course, including any portion of a round. Merely being at a golf course or club, riding in a golf cart, attending a golf event, practicing, or taking a ceremonial shot does not count.

The primary source is Trump Golf Track (trumpgolftrack.com). Any date it lists as “confirmed golf” will count.

If Trump Golf Track is incomplete, Kalshi may also rely on White House pool reports and editorial photo agencies, including Getty Images, Reuters Connect, and AP Photos.

Contract: Will Trump golf on Oct 17, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPGOLFD-26OCT16-SAT; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpgolfd-26oct16
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 19, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 321.88 contracts
Outcome Yes: 8.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 92.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Donald Trump golfs on Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: “Golfing” means Donald Trump playing golf on a golf course, including any portion of a round. Merely being at a golf course or club, riding in a golf cart, attending a golf event, practicing, or taking a ceremonial shot does not count.

The primary source is Trump Golf Track (trumpgolftrack.com). Any date it lists as “confirmed golf” will count.

If Trump Golf Track is incomplete, Kalshi may also rely on White House pool reports and editorial photo agencies, including Getty Images, Reuters Connect, and AP Photos.

Contract: Will Trump not golf from Oct 16, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPGOLFD-26OCT16-NONE; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpgolfd-26oct16
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 20, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 177.77 contracts
Outcome Yes: 56.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 44.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Donald Trump does not golf from Oct 16, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: “Golfing” means Donald Trump playing golf on a golf course, including any portion of a round. Merely being at a golf course or club, riding in a golf cart, attending a golf event, practicing, or taking a ceremonial shot does not count.

The primary source is Trump Golf Track (trumpgolftrack.com). Any date it lists as “confirmed golf” will count.

If Trump Golf Track is incomplete, Kalshi may also rely on White House pool reports and editorial photo agencies, including Getty Images, Reuters Connect, and AP Photos.

Contract: Will Trump golf on Oct 16, 2026?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPGOLFD-26OCT16-FRI; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpgolfd-26oct16
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 18, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 13.2K contracts
Outcome Yes: 0.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Donald Trump golfs on Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: “Golfing” means Donald Trump playing golf on a golf course, including any portion of a round. Merely being at a golf course or club, riding in a golf cart, attending a golf event, practicing, or taking a ceremonial shot does not count.

The primary source is Trump Golf Track (trumpgolftrack.com). Any date it lists as “confirmed golf” will count.

If Trump Golf Track is incomplete, Kalshi may also rely on White House pool reports and editorial photo agencies, including Getty Images, Reuters Connect, and AP Photos.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHIPolitics