Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 4.0K contracts
Reported volume · provider units
110
Saved contracts
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC
About This Event
Oct 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT
If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for natural gas on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above X USD/MMBtu, then the market resolves to Yes. The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 3 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
0
No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.
Price ChartContract price history
110 markets tracked
Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.
Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.
Will the natural gas close price be above 2.890 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
No data available
Single-Platform Markets(110)
Market
Platform
Price
Will the natural gas close price be above 2.890 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
99.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 2.885 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
99.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 2.880 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
99.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 2.875 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
99.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 2.870 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
99.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 2.865 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
99.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 2.860 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
99.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 2.855 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
99.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 2.850 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
99.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.115 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
98.0%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.145 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
97.0%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.200 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
95.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.195 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
95.0%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.215 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
93.0%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.225 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
92.0%
Will the natural gas close price be above 2.905 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
91.0%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.110 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
90.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.105 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
90.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.080 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
90.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 2.935 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
90.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.240 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
90.0%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.235 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
90.0%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.055 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
90.0%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.035 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
90.0%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.030 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
90.0%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.015 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
90.0%
Will the natural gas close price be above 2.970 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
90.0%
Will the natural gas close price be above 2.945 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
90.0%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.065 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
89.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.245 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
89.0%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.095 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
89.0%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.005 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
89.0%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.165 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
88.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 2.995 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
88.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 2.915 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
88.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.100 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
88.0%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.025 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
88.0%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.170 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
87.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 2.965 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
87.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.260 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
87.0%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.230 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
87.0%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.220 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
87.0%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.180 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
87.0%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.150 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
87.0%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.185 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
86.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 2.950 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
86.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.075 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
86.0%
Will the natural gas close price be above 2.930 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
86.0%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.140 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
85.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.250 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
85.0%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.090 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
85.0%
Will the natural gas close price be above 2.920 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
85.0%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.265 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
84.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.085 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
84.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.020 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
84.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 2.985 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
84.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 2.980 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
84.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 2.895 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
84.0%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.255 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
84.0%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.270 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
83.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
83.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 2.940 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
83.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 2.900 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
83.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.010 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
83.0%
Will the natural gas close price be above 2.925 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
83.0%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.155 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
82.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 2.955 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
82.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.275 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
82.0%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.205 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
82.0%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.190 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
82.0%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.125 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
82.0%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.070 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
82.0%
Will the natural gas close price be above 2.960 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
82.0%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.210 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
81.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.040 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
81.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 2.975 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
81.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.280 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
81.0%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.135 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
81.0%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.120 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
81.0%
Will the natural gas close price be above 2.990 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
80.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 2.910 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
80.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.050 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
80.0%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.285 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
79.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.175 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
79.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.160 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
79.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.290 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
77.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.295 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
76.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.300 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
74.0%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.305 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
72.0%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.310 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
70.0%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.315 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
68.0%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.320 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
66.0%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.325 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
64.0%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.330 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
62.0%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.130 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
60.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.060 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
60.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.045 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
60.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.335 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
60.0%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.340 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
58.0%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.345 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
56.0%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.350 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
54.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.355 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
52.0%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.360 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
50.0%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.365 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
47.0%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.370 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
46.0%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.375 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
44.0%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.380 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
41.0%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.385 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
40.0%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.390 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
38.0%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.395 USD/MMBtu on October 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
36.0%
Rules & Resolution
Saved matching review
Needs review: no direct pair assessment is available.
A saved event match does not establish identical settlement. Pair reviews appear with each price comparison.
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