Dogecoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
PM $0
1
1
Dogecoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
PM $0
1
1
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $0
Reported volume · provider units
1
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 1, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the DOGE/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/doge-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair DOGE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-11-01T03:00:06.030Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This Polymarket contract asks whether Dogecoin will close its window "Up" or "Down." According to the rules, it "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range" [1]. Otherwise it resolves "Down" [1].
The resolution source is the Chainlink DOGE/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules state that the market "is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair DOGE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A reader comparing this contract with a spot-price market or a different Dogecoin contract should check whether the wording names the same data source, averaging method, and window.
The listed end time is "2026-11-01T22:30:00.000Z" [1]. This is the contract's listed close time, not a record of any resolution. The supplied evidence does not show a resolution outcome.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed the market at 2026-11-01T03:00:06.030Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-11-01T04:08:10.227Z [1]. The provider reported the status as "active" [1]. These are timestamps for the saved snapshot. They do not confirm live trading at the time you read this.
The saved snapshot shows one market with two outcomes, "Up" at 0.5 and "Down" at 0.5 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The volume figure is not in the supplied evidence, so no conclusion about liquidity can be drawn.
Coverage is limited to this single event. The saved set includes one market out of one total, and the sample is not partial [1]. The source notes that "Counts describe the saved provider event, not the whole real-world field," and that the saved markets "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. Since this is a binary Up or Down contract, there is no omitted outcome to compare against.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the prices are equal, and it does not indicate how many traders hold either side. It also does not include any news or any reason to expect a particular direction.
The contract covers one specific window. Prices from this snapshot should not be compared with prices for other Dogecoin windows or other platforms, because the timing, data source, and tie rule may differ. Any apparent gap between two contracts is not, by itself, an arbitrage opportunity.
References
- Polymarket: Dogecoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-11-01T03:00:06.030Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 1, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a short-window price contract on Dogecoin, titled "Dogecoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET" and listed in the crypto category on Polymarket [1]. Its rules state that it resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The contract does not use any price source the trader chooses. The rules name Chainlink as the resolution source, specifically the DOGE/USD TWAP data stream, and state that the market concerns the price in that Chainlink data stream rather than other sources or spot markets [1]. The listed end time is 2026-11-01T22:30:00.000Z [1]. In the saved snapshot, the provider event contained one market with two outcomes, "Up" at 0.5 and "Down" at 0.5 [1]. That snapshot reflects the provider observation time and is not an executable quote or a verified probability. It should not be read as the price now.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the time-weighted average of the DOGE/USD price in the Chainlink data stream during the 5:15PM to 5:30PM ET window is at or above the price at the start of that window [1]. Because the outcome depends on a time-weighted average rather than a single price at one moment, the result reflects the price path across the whole window. The rules also limit the outcome to the Chainlink stream, so a reader comparing prices from other exchanges would be looking at a different measure [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-01 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this contract resolves to Up or Down?
It resolves to "Up" if the Chainlink DOGE/USD TWAP over the stated time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range, and to "Down" otherwise [1].
Which data source does the contract use?
The rules name Chainlink's DOGE/USD TWAP data stream and state that other sources or spot markets do not govern the outcome [1].
Do the prices in the snapshot show the likelihood of each outcome?
The saved snapshot lists "Up" and "Down" at 0.5 each as of its observation time [1]. These are snapshot prices rather than verified probabilities or executable quotes, so they should not be treated as a forecast.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
Dogecoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
PM $0Dogecoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
PM $0Dogecoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
PM $0Dogecoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
PM $0Dogecoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
PM $0Dogecoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
PM $0Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.