XRP above ___ on October 20?
PM $177.53
1
11
XRP above ___ on October 20?
PM $177.53
1
11
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $177.53
Reported volume · provider units
11
Saved contracts
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Overview
This PredictPedia entry covers a Polymarket event titled "XRP above ___ on October 20?" in the crypto category. The contract is a price-threshold question about XRP. Its rules state that the market "will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No"." [1] The resolution mechanics are narrow. The rules name Binance as the resolution source and specify the XRP/USDT pair on that exchange, using the 1 minute candle and its final close. The rules also say the market is about the price on Binance XRP/USDT, not on other exchanges or other trading pairs [1]. A contract can therefore resolve differently from a price quoted elsewhere, even at the same moment. The event is structured as a set of related markets, each using a different price threshold in the title. The saved event includes thresholds from $0.90 to $1.90 in $0.10 steps, and each market asks whether the price will be above that level on October 20 [1]. Each market in this saved sample is a separate Yes or No question. The prices shown in the application's dated snapshot are observed values at a specific time. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities of any outcome. The listed end time for the event is 2026-10-20T16:00:00.000Z, and the provider status is recorded as active [1]. The rules refer to noon ET, while the listed end time is given in UTC. The listed end time is a provider field and should not be read as the moment the price is observed or as a separate announced event. The contract's terms define how the market resolves, but they do not indicate what the XRP price will be.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the Binance XRP/USDT one minute candle closing at noon ET on October 20 has a final close above a price written in the title [1]. Because each threshold is its own market, the event asks a set of separate questions about how high the Binance XRP/USDT price will be on that date and time [1]. The contract is narrow in scope: it concerns one exchange, one trading pair, one candle, and one closing time, so it does not measure XRP's price in general or on other venues [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-15 at 16:13 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does a Yes outcome mean for this contract?
According to the rules, the market resolves to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT closing at noon ET on the date in the title has a final close higher than the price in the title [1].
Which exchange determines the outcome?
The rules name Binance as the resolution source and state that the market concerns the Binance XRP/USDT price, not prices on other exchanges or trading pairs [1].
Does a price on another exchange change how the market resolves?
No. The rules specify that the market is about Binance XRP/USDT and not other exchanges or trading pairs [1].
Are the prices in this entry tradable quotes or probabilities?
The prices are snapshots from the provider at the observation time. They are not executable quotes, and they should not be treated as verified probabilities [1].
Does the event include every possible price level?
The saved event includes the thresholds listed in the provider data, from $0.90 to $1.90 in the saved sample [1]. The sample notice states that the providers do not necessarily list every possible real-world outcome.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
0
No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
