Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T06:00:05.833Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

These six Kalshi markets concern rushing attempts by two players in the New Orleans vs New York G game, which the contract describes as "originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026" [1]. Each market asks whether a named player reaches a stated threshold. Kendre Miller and Cam Skattebo each appear at several thresholds, such as "7+" or "12+" rushing attempts [1].

The rules set several conditions. If a player takes at least one snap, "even if nullified by penalty, the market settles based on rushing attempts recorded" [1]. If a player is active but never takes a snap, the market "settles to the fair market price before game start" [1]. The contract also states that the market "will close and expire early if the event occurs" [1]. The provider lists an end time of 2026-10-20T17:00:00 UTC for each market, but the event page lists its end time as "not supplied" [1]. Readers should treat the listed close time as a provider field, not as confirmation of when the game will be played or resolved.

Reading the snapshot

The prices come from an observation at 2026-10-16T06:00:05 UTC, which is earlier than the retrieval time of 07:42:43 UTC on the same day [1]. They describe that moment only and are not live quotes.

Within the saved sample, Yes prices fall as thresholds rise. Skattebo's Yes prices are 0.755 at 12+, 0.52 at 15+, and 0.30 at 18+ [1]. Miller's are 0.715 at 7+, 0.50 at 10+, and 0.25 at 13+ [1]. Because the thresholds differ, these are separate contracts, and comparing prices across players is not a like-for-like comparison. Prices should not be treated as verified probabilities, and no volume or liquidity figures were supplied to indicate how deep these markets are.

What remains uncertain

The sample includes all six markets saved for this provider event, and the marketCoverage record marks it as not partial [1]. The saved sample still does not establish that the provider lists every possible outcome for these players. The record also does not include trader counts, the reasons for any price level, or any game-day information such as injuries or playing time. The source does not show whether the game has been played, whether any contract has closed early, or how any market will settle. Those points require current official information.

References

1. Kalshi: New Orleans vs New York G: Rushing Attempts. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T06:00:05.833Z.