Market snapshot: Oct 24, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHIPOLYMARKETCross-Platform

Event GroupKALSHIPOLYMARKETCross-Platform3 EventsSports

Großaspach vs Augsburg

Reported volume

PM $0 · K 0 contracts

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

Großaspach vs Augsburg

Vol

PM $0 · K 0 contracts

Events

Markets

Polymarket Kalshi

Polymarket vs Kalshi

Snapshot from Oct 24, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC

As of Oct 24, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC, Augsburg is priced at 71.5% on Polymarket and 72% on Kalshi.

Outcome (Yes price)	Polymarket	Kalshi	Gap
AugsburgSame question, fine print differs	71.5%	72%	0.5 pts
TieSame question, fine print differs	15%	15.5%	0.5 pts
GroßaspachSame question, fine print differs	12.5%	12.5%	0.0 pts

Yes prices for outcomes an automated review found to ask the same question on both platforms. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

Price ChartContract price history

3 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Großaspach vs Augsburg

No data available

Include related or unreviewed contracts

No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with usable prices. You can inspect related contracts, but their prices do not measure the same outcome.

Market	Polymarket	Kalshi	Diff

Rules & Resolution

Differs

Saved matching review

Same question, fine print differs: 3 pairs

Related contracts: 3 pairs

A saved event match does not establish identical settlement. Pair reviews appear with each price comparison.

Review notes

Saved notes may describe earlier contract terms. Use the pair status above and current provider rules.

This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.

Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 3 same question with differing fine print, 0 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "Großaspach vs Augsburg". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-10-29T17:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "SG Sonnenhof Großaspach vs. FC Augsburg". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-10-27T17:00:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.

The saved review identifies different resolution rules.

The saved review identifies different resolution sources.

Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 0 same question with differing fine print, 3 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "Großaspach vs Augsburg". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-10-29T17:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "SG Sonnenhof Großaspach vs. FC Augsburg - Halftime Result". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-10-27T17:00:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $0 · K 0 contracts

Reported volume · provider units

Saved contracts

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 24, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC

About This Event

GRO vs FCA (Oct 27) If X wins the Großaspach vs Augsburg professional DFB Pokal soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 27, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Großaspach vs Augsburg professional DFB Pokal soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 27, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties. If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Großaspach vs Augsburg
Source snapshot: Oct 24, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): PM $0 · K 0 contracts
Coverage: 9 of 9 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Augsburg wins
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXDFBPOKALGAME-26OCT27GROFCA-FCA; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdfbpokalgame-26oct27grofca
Observed: Oct 24, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 29, 2026, 5:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 72.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 28.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Augsburg wins the Großaspach vs Augsburg professional DFB Pokal soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 27, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Großaspach vs Augsburg professional DFB Pokal soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 27, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-10-27?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5662426; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/dfb-sg-aug-2026-10-27-aug
Observed: Oct 24, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 27, 2026, 5:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 71.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 28.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 27, 2026
If FC Augsburg wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the

Contract: FC Augsburg leading at halftime?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5662429; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/dfb-sg-aug-2026-10-27-halftime-result-away
Observed: Oct 24, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 27, 2026, 5:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 56.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 44.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 27, 2026 If FC Augsburg wins within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outc

Contract: Großaspach wins
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXDFBPOKALGAME-26OCT27GROFCA-GRO; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdfbpokalgame-26oct27grofca
Observed: Oct 24, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 29, 2026, 5:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 12.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 87.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Großaspach wins the Großaspach vs Augsburg professional DFB Pokal soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 27, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Großaspach vs Augsburg professional DFB Pokal soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 27, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Will SG Sonnenhof Großaspach win on 2026-10-27?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5662424; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/dfb-sg-aug-2026-10-27-sg
Observed: Oct 24, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 27, 2026, 5:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 12.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 87.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 27, 2026
If SG Sonnenhof Großaspach wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 

Contract: SG Sonnenhof Großaspach leading at halftime?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5662427; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/dfb-sg-aug-2026-10-27-halftime-result-home
Observed: Oct 24, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 27, 2026, 5:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 10.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 89.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 27, 2026 If SG Sonnenhof Großaspach wins within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determin

Contract: Tie is the result
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXDFBPOKALGAME-26OCT27GROFCA-TIE; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdfbpokalgame-26oct27grofca
Observed: Oct 24, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 29, 2026, 5:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 15.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 84.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Tie is the result of the Großaspach vs Augsburg professional DFB Pokal soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 27, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Großaspach vs Augsburg professional DFB Pokal soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 27, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Will SG Sonnenhof Großaspach vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5662425; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/dfb-sg-aug-2026-10-27-draw
Observed: Oct 24, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 27, 2026, 5:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 15.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 85.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 27, 2026
If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 h

Contract: SG Sonnenhof Großaspach vs. FC Augsburg: Draw at halftime?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5662428; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/dfb-sg-aug-2026-10-27-halftime-result-draw
Observed: Oct 24, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Oct 27, 2026, 5:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 31.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 69.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 27, 2026 If the game ends in a draw within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determini

Saved cross-platform review:
polymarket-5662429 / kalshi-KXDFBPOKALGAME-26OCT27GROFCA-FCA: Related contracts. The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "Augsburg wins"; listed deadline 2026-10-29T17:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "FC Augsburg leading at halftime?"; listed deadline 2026-10-27T17:00:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 24, 2026, 2:20 AM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 0 same question with differing fine print, 3 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "Großaspach vs Augsburg". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-10-29T17:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "SG Sonnenhof Großaspach vs. FC Augsburg - Halftime Result". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-10-27T17:00:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.
polymarket-5662428 / kalshi-KXDFBPOKALGAME-26OCT27GROFCA-TIE: Related contracts. The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "Tie is the result"; listed deadline 2026-10-29T17:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "SG Sonnenhof Großaspach vs. FC Augsburg: Draw at halftime?"; listed deadline 2026-10-27T17:00:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 24, 2026, 2:20 AM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 0 same question with differing fine print, 3 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "Großaspach vs Augsburg". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-10-29T17:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "SG Sonnenhof Großaspach vs. FC Augsburg - Halftime Result". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-10-27T17:00:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.
polymarket-5662427 / kalshi-KXDFBPOKALGAME-26OCT27GROFCA-GRO: Related contracts. The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "Großaspach wins"; listed deadline 2026-10-29T17:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "SG Sonnenhof Großaspach leading at halftime?"; listed deadline 2026-10-27T17:00:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 24, 2026, 2:20 AM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 0 same question with differing fine print, 3 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "Großaspach vs Augsburg". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-10-29T17:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "SG Sonnenhof Großaspach vs. FC Augsburg - Halftime Result". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-10-27T17:00:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.
polymarket-5662425 / kalshi-KXDFBPOKALGAME-26OCT27GROFCA-TIE: Same question, fine print differs. The automated review found that both contracts ask the same question, but their fine print differs, so they may not settle identically. Kalshi: "Tie is the result"; listed deadline 2026-10-29T17:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will SG Sonnenhof Großaspach vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?"; listed deadline 2026-10-27T17:00:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 24, 2026, 2:20 AM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 3 same question with differing fine print, 0 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "Großaspach vs Augsburg". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-10-29T17:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "SG Sonnenhof Großaspach vs. FC Augsburg". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-10-27T17:00:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.
polymarket-5662426 / kalshi-KXDFBPOKALGAME-26OCT27GROFCA-FCA: Same question, fine print differs. The automated review found that both contracts ask the same question, but their fine print differs, so they may not settle identically. Kalshi: "Augsburg wins"; listed deadline 2026-10-29T17:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-10-27?"; listed deadline 2026-10-27T17:00:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 24, 2026, 2:20 AM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 3 same question with differing fine print, 0 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "Großaspach vs Augsburg". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-10-29T17:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "SG Sonnenhof Großaspach vs. FC Augsburg". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-10-27T17:00:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.
polymarket-5662424 / kalshi-KXDFBPOKALGAME-26OCT27GROFCA-GRO: Same question, fine print differs. The automated review found that both contracts ask the same question, but their fine print differs, so they may not settle identically. Kalshi: "Großaspach wins"; listed deadline 2026-10-29T17:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will SG Sonnenhof Großaspach win on 2026-10-27?"; listed deadline 2026-10-27T17:00:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 24, 2026, 2:20 AM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 3 same question with differing fine print, 0 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "Großaspach vs Augsburg". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-10-29T17:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "SG Sonnenhof Großaspach vs. FC Augsburg". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-10-27T17:00:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

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