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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Andalusia Election: PSOE-A # of seats?

Name: Andalusia Election: PSOE-A # of seats?
End: 2026-05-17T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$825.71

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Markets

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Andalusia Election: PSOE-A # of seats?

Vol

$825.71

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $825.71

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $825.71

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

6 markets tracked

Will Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win 30-32 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win 30-32 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?	Poly	48%
Will Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win 33 or more seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?	Poly	32%
Will Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win 27-29 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?	Poly	28%
Will Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win 21-23 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?	Poly	26%
Will Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win 24-26 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?	Poly	25%
Will Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win fewer than 21 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?	Poly	10%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

48%

Top Probability

$825.71

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Andalusia Election: PSOE-A # of seats?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 17, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.

If the r"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $826
* **Total Liquidity:** $724
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.14)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win fewer than 21 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 17, 2026): Vol $181
  DATA: [Yes: 10.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win 24-26 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 17, 2026): Vol $112
  DATA: [Yes: 25.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win 30-32 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 17, 2026): Vol $43
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win 21-23 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 17, 2026): Vol $43
  DATA: [Yes: 25.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win 27-29 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 17, 2026): Vol $45
  DATA: [Yes: 28.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win 33 or more seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 17, 2026): Vol $400
  DATA: [Yes: 31.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.2% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics