ZCash Up or Down - October 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
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ZCash Up or Down - October 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Oct 26, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zec-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-26T00:00:05.974Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This Polymarket event, titled "ZCash Up or Down - October 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET," asks whether a price measure for ZEC/USD will be higher or lower over a five-minute window [1]. According to the contract rules, the market "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1].
The resolution source is the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules state that the market "is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A reader comparing this contract with a ZEC price on an exchange or another data feed should expect that the wording may produce different results, because the rules name one specific data stream.
The listed end time is 2026-10-26T23:40:00.000Z [1]. The contract's window is set by its title, and the listed end time is the close time shown in the provider data, not a separate announced event.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed this market at 2026-10-26T00:00:05.974Z, and the evidence was retrieved at 2026-10-26T00:27:17.363Z [1]. These are snapshot times. They do not show the price at the moment you read this, and the provider status was recorded as "active" only at observation time [1].
The saved snapshot lists two outcomes: "Up" at 0.5 and "Down" at 0.5 [1]. These are quoted prices from one observation, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. Because the two prices are equal in this snapshot, the data shows no difference between the two outcomes at that moment. The evidence does not explain why the prices were set at this level.
The coverage record shows one market in this event, with no partial sample flagged [1]. Since this is a binary Up or Down contract, both outcomes are included. The evidence contains no volume or trader-count data, so the snapshot cannot be used to judge how much trading supports these prices.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show the TWAP value at the start of the window or any later price, so the outcome cannot be determined from this record. The snapshot predates the window, and the evidence contains no resolution result [1].
Quoted prices in this snapshot should not be compared directly with prices for ZEC contracts on other platforms, or with contracts that use different windows or data sources, because the rules differ. Any apparent price gap between such contracts would not by itself indicate an opportunity.
References
- Polymarket: ZCash Up or Down - October 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-26T00:00:05.974Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 26, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a short-window price contract on ZCash, a cryptocurrency, listed on Polymarket under the title "ZCash Up or Down - October 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET" [1]. The contract is in the Crypto category and covers a five-minute window stated in its title [1]. The contract's rules tie resolution to a time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash over that window. The market resolves to "Up" if that TWAP is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of the window, and to "Down" otherwise [1]. The contract is therefore not a question about where the price ends up relative to a fixed level. It compares the averaged price across the window with the price at its start [1]. The rules name Chainlink as the resolution source, specifically its ZEC/USD TWAP data stream with a 60-second TWAP configuration [1]. The rules also state that only this Chainlink data stream counts, and not other sources or spot markets for ZCash [1]. Any difference between this feed and prices on other venues is therefore irrelevant to how the contract settles. The listed end time in the rules is 2026-10-26T23:40:00.000Z [1]. That is the contract's scheduled closing time under its rules, and it is not a record of when the market was resolved.
Why It Matters
The contract measures the direction of ZCash's Chainlink-reported ZEC/USD TWAP over a specific five-minute window, compared with the price at the start of that window [1]. Because the rules fix the data source, the window, and the comparison, the outcome depends on that feed and not on general market commentary or other exchanges [1]. The contract is useful for understanding how a short-window, rule-defined crypto price question is constructed, including how the averaging method and start-of-window reference shape the result [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-26 at 00:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What makes this contract resolve to Up?
It resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price of ZCash from Chainlink over the window in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that window [1].
What makes it resolve to Down?
If the Chainlink TWAP over the window is below the price at the beginning of that window, the contract resolves to "Down" [1].
Which price data does the contract use?
The rules specify the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP data stream and state that other sources or spot markets are not used [1].
What does the TWAP setting refer to?
The resolution source is described as a 60-second TWAP data stream [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.