BNB Up or Down - October 27, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
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BNB Up or Down - October 27, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BNB/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/bnb-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BNB/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-26T06:00:06.440Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Polymarket contract titled "BNB Up or Down - October 27, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET" [1]. It resolves to "Up" if "the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The resolution source is the BNB/USD TWAP data stream, and the market states that it concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BNB/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. The listed end time is 2026-10-27T05:10:00.000Z [1].
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed the market at 2026-10-26T06:00:06.440Z, and the saved record was retrieved at 2026-10-26T07:03:49.128Z [1]. The snapshot shows the outcome "Up" at 0.505 and "Down" at 0.495 [1]. These are recorded snapshot values, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. Because the two outcomes are complementary, they sum to 1.000 in this record.
The sample is complete for this provider event: one market was saved, one was included, and the sample is not marked as partial [1]. The saved record does not include volume or any count of traders, so it says nothing about liquidity or how many participants hold either side. The record also gives no explanation for the prices. Because only one platform and one contract appear, there is no comparison with other platforms or contracts.
What remains uncertain
The snapshot predates the retrieval time and does not show the market's state at the time you read this. The record shows the market as "active" at the time it was saved [1], but the evidence does not establish its status now. The contract has not resolved based on the supplied evidence, and the outcome depends on the Chainlink TWAP for the stated window, not on the quoted prices. A quoted price near 0.5 for both outcomes reflects only the saved snapshot. The evidence does not show whether these prices would hold through the listed end time.
References
- Polymarket: BNB Up or Down - October 27, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-26T06:00:06.440Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 26, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a short-window crypto contract from PredictPedia's Crypto category. Its title is "BNB Up or Down - October 27, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET." The contract asks whether the price of BNB, measured in US dollars, will finish the five-minute window at or above where it started. The source states that the market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range, and to "Down" otherwise [1]. The resolution depends on a specific data feed rather than on any exchange or general market price. The source names the Chainlink BNB/USD TWAP data stream as the resolution source and says the market concerns only the price in that Chainlink feed, not other sources or spot markets [1]. A reader therefore needs to understand the feed's averaging method, not just the headline BNB price, to understand how the contract will be settled. The listed end time is 2026-10-27T05:10:00Z, which corresponds to the 1:10 AM ET end in the title [1]. The contract's provider status was recorded as active when the source was observed on 2026-10-26 at 06:00 UTC [1]. That status describes the provider record at that observation time. It does not show the market's status now, and it does not show how the contract will eventually resolve. The saved market snapshot lists two outcomes: "Up" at a price of 0.505 and "Down" at 0.495 [1]. These are observed snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The sample covers one market for this event, and the coverage record shows no partial sampling for it. The snapshot does not reveal trading depth, liquidity, or the number of participants.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether BNB's Chainlink TWAP over a five-minute window ends at or above its opening level for that window [1]. Because the reference is an average over the window compared with the starting price, the outcome is defined by the feed's calculation, not by a single price printed at the end. Readers comparing this contract with other BNB markets should check each contract's time range and resolution source, since the source states that this market is tied only to the Chainlink BNB/USD TWAP stream [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-26 at 06:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What decides whether this contract resolves Up?
It resolves Up if the Chainlink BNB/USD TWAP over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range [1].
Does this contract use other exchange prices?
No. The source says the market is about the price according to the Chainlink TWAP data stream for BNB/USD, not any other sources or spot markets [1].
When does the window end?
The listed end time is 2026-10-27T05:10:00Z, which matches 1:10 AM ET in the contract title [1].
Do the displayed prices show the chance of an Up result?
The saved snapshot shows Up at 0.505 and Down at 0.495 [1]. These are observed prices at one point in time, not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.