Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T06:00:05.833Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

Each market asks whether Jaxson Dart will record at least a listed number of passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season. The five saved markets use thresholds of 2,650.5, 2,900.5, 3,150.5, 3,400.5, and 3,650.5 yards [1]. The rules resolve "Yes" if the total equals or exceeds the listed number and "No" otherwise. They also set several special cases. If Dart does not play in the regular season for any reason, the market resolves "No." If the season ends early, the outcome uses available official data for completed games. If the season is cancelled, or is postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or the yardage cannot be determined, the market resolves "50-50" [1].

The listed end time is 2027-01-27T04:59:00.000Z, and the rules name official NFL information as the resolution source, with a consensus of credible reporting also allowed [1]. The end time is a contract closing time, not a prediction of when the season will finish.

Reading the snapshot

The saved provider observation time is 2026-10-16T06:00:05.833Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-16T07:24:01.851Z [1]. The prices below describe only that observation and are not live or executable quotes:

• 2,650.5+ yards: Yes 0.0165
• 2,900.5+ yards: Yes 0.0265
• 3,150.5+ yards: Yes 0.03
• 3,400.5+ yards: Yes 0.0255
• 3,650.5+ yards: Yes 0.0255

These five contracts come from one provider event, and all were included in the saved sample [1]. The Yes prices do not fall steadily as the threshold rises. The 3,150.5 contract is priced slightly above the 2,900.5 contract, and the 3,400.5 and 3,650.5 contracts share the same price. The snapshot does not explain these patterns, and each contract should be read on its own terms. Volume is not shown here, so it cannot indicate liquidity or how many traders are involved.

What remains uncertain

The sample warning states that all saved markets for this event are included, but that this does not establish that the provider lists every possible outcome [1]. Other thresholds may exist elsewhere, so no conclusions about the full field should be drawn. The source also does not report any news, injuries, or other developments affecting the contracts, and nothing here shows why prices are where they are.

References

1. Polymarket: Pro Football: Jaxson Dart 2026-27 Regular Season Passing Yards. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T06:00:05.833Z.