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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

AD Tarma vs. CA Grau

Name: AD Tarma vs. CA Grau
End: 2026-05-02T20:15:00.000Z

Total Volume

$204.61

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

AD Tarma vs. CA Grau

Vol

$204.61

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $204.61

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $204.61

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Will AD Tarma win on 2026-05-02?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will AD Tarma win on 2026-05-02?	Poly	57%
Will AD Tarma vs. CA Grau end in a draw?	Poly	26%
Will CA Grau win on 2026-05-02?	Poly	16%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

57%

Top Probability

$204.61

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This event is for the upcoming Peru Liga 1 game, scheduled for Saturday, May 2, 2026 between AD Tarma and CA Grau.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** AD Tarma vs. CA Grau
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 2, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This event is for the upcoming Peru Liga 1 game, scheduled for Saturday, May 2, 2026 between AD Tarma and CA Grau.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 2, 2026
If AD Tarma wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this mar"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $205
* **Total Liquidity:** $18.0K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.01)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will AD Tarma win on 2026-05-02?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $129
  DATA: [Yes: 57.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 42.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will AD Tarma vs. CA Grau end in a draw?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 26.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will CA Grau win on 2026-05-02?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $75
  DATA: [Yes: 16.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

AD Tarma vs. CA Grau

This event is for the upcoming Peru Liga 1 game, scheduled for Saturday, May 2, 2026 between AD Tarma and CA Grau.

Volume$204.61

Markets3

3 of 3

Sort:

POLYMARKET

Will AD Tarma win on 2026-05-02?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 57.5¢No 42.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will AD Tarma win on 2026-05-02?

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 2, 2026 If AD Tarma wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this mar

POLYMARKET

Will AD Tarma vs. CA Grau end in a draw?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 26.0¢No 74.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will AD Tarma vs. CA Grau end in a draw?

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 2, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game

POLYMARKET

Will CA Grau win on 2026-05-02?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 16.0¢No 84.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will CA Grau win on 2026-05-02?

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 2, 2026 If CA Grau wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this mark

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

33¢

Polymarket

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AD Tarma vs. CA Grau

AD Tarma vs. CA Grau

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Will AD Tarma win on 2026-05-02?

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About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

AD Tarma vs. CA Grau

Markets (3)

Will AD Tarma win on 2026-05-02?

Will AD Tarma win on 2026-05-02?

Will AD Tarma vs. CA Grau end in a draw?

Will AD Tarma vs. CA Grau end in a draw?

Will CA Grau win on 2026-05-02?

Will CA Grau win on 2026-05-02?

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Will AD Tarma win on 2026-05-02?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

AD Tarma vs. CA Grau

Will AD Tarma win on 2026-05-02?

Will AD Tarma win on 2026-05-02?

Will AD Tarma vs. CA Grau end in a draw?

Will AD Tarma vs. CA Grau end in a draw?

Will CA Grau win on 2026-05-02?

Will CA Grau win on 2026-05-02?

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