Name: AD Tarma vs. CA Grau
End: 2026-05-02T20:15:00.000Z

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AD Tarma vs. CA Grau | PredictPedia

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3 markets tracked

Will AD Tarma win on 2026-05-02?

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Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will AD Tarma win on 2026-05-02?	Poly	48%
Will CA Grau win on 2026-05-02?	Poly	41%
Will AD Tarma vs. CA Grau end in a draw?	Poly	40%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, April 17, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** AD Tarma vs. CA Grau
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 2, 2026 (16 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This event is for the upcoming Peru Liga 1 game, scheduled for Saturday, May 2, 2026 between AD Tarma and CA Grau.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 2, 2026
If AD Tarma wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this mar"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $202
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will AD Tarma win on 2026-05-02?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will AD Tarma vs. CA Grau end in a draw?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 39.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will CA Grau win on 2026-05-02?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 41.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

15d 6h remaining

May 02, 2026 8:15 PM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

43¢

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AD Tarma vs. CA Grau

AD Tarma vs. CA Grau

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Will AD Tarma win on 2026-05-02?

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Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

AD Tarma vs. CA Grau

Markets (3)

Will AD Tarma win on 2026-05-02?

Will AD Tarma win on 2026-05-02?

Will CA Grau win on 2026-05-02?

Will CA Grau win on 2026-05-02?

Will AD Tarma vs. CA Grau end in a draw?

Will AD Tarma vs. CA Grau end in a draw?

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Will AD Tarma win on 2026-05-02?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

AD Tarma vs. CA Grau

Will AD Tarma win on 2026-05-02?

Will AD Tarma win on 2026-05-02?

Will CA Grau win on 2026-05-02?

Will CA Grau win on 2026-05-02?

Will AD Tarma vs. CA Grau end in a draw?

Will AD Tarma vs. CA Grau end in a draw?

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Discussion

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